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2012 QB Rankings

April 12, 2012

Quarterback

Prototype in the NFL: Tom Brady

Best In Class

Best Long Ball: Robert Griffin                          Best Pocket Awareness: Kellen Moore

Best Reader of Defenses: Andrew Luck           Best Accuracy: Kellen Moore

Best Release: GJ Kinne                                   Best Open Field Runner: Robert Griffin

1. Andrew Luck Stanford #12 6’4 234 Jr.

Comparison: Peyton Manning

Background: Redshirted in 2008. Finished 2nd in 2010 and 2011 for the Heisman. Named the Pac-12 OPOY in 2010 and 2011. Finalist for Davey O’Brien and Maxwell Awards in 2010 and 2011. Led team to back to back 11 win seasons for first time in their history.

Stats: Pac-10

Year

Yards

%

TD

INT

Sack

YPA

Rating

2011

3517

71.3

37

10

11

8.7

169.7

2010

3338

70.7

32

8

6

9.0

170.2

2009

2575

56.3

13

4

6

8.9

143.5

 RS

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Combine: Had a very similar combine numbers wise with a 4.67 40, ’36 vertical, and 10’4 broad. Cam’s numbers were 4.59 40, ’35 vertical, 10’6 broad. Didn’t throw or do any position drill stuff.

HGT

WGT

Arms

Hands

40

Reps

Vert

Broad

Shuttle

3 Cone

1 yr %

6040

234

32.63

10

4.67

 

36

1004

4.28

6.8

100


Notes:
Has been very solid in 2009 for the Cardinals as he is efficient and presents enough of a threat to keep the D from loading up on the run game. Finished 2nd in the nation in 2010 for the Heisman with great numbers (3,050 70% 28/7). What is even more impressive about his numbers is that he is doing it in a pro style offense, his passes are usually deeper down the field than the normal college QB (think Colt McCoy), and he doesn’t have elite playmakers around him. He is far and away the #1 best prospect for the 2011 draft if he comes out 12/15/10. Shockingly decided to return to school for 2011. His numbers in 2010 were even more impressive the deeper you break them down as his YPA have been elite each of the past two years and his ability to avoid the costly mistake (only 12 sacks and 12 ints in the past two years!) is absolutely incredible. Enters the 2011 season ranked #1 on my Big Board. Has one of the best ball fakes I’ve ever seen by a college QB. Is one of the best I’ve ever graded at analyzing defenses and determining where to go with the ball. In the 2011 Washington game he started the game out great leading them to 1 quick TD and on the way to another until he threw a fade right to the CB who just dropped an easy int again showing his inconsistent accuracy (7:22 1st), showed his great touch in the end zone lofting ball just over LBs head for TE on 1 yd TD (14:20 2nd), ran 5 yds for 1st on 3rd and 4, easily ran 10 yds for first on 3rd down, too low on open cross by TE missing easy TD pass, one hopped pass to open WR on curl route with blitzer baring down at him (2:30 3rd), good job stepping up in pocket and throwing on the move-he loves to step up in the pocket and throw on the move stepping forward, I think it’s b/c it adds some velocity to his throws. In the 2011 USC game he had numerous great moments: a play where he checked 3 options while avoiding a rusher to get a huge completion, a naked bootleg for +10 yds outrunning the CB to the edge showing great speed, numerous perfectly thrown 8-15 yd passes in stride to WRs and TEs, a trick play where he lined up at WR came around for pitch and threw it 40 yds in the air perfectly in stride to a RB for a big gain. Yet overall I was disappointed as he missed some open targets, threw a terrible pick six late in the game that nearly caused them to lose, took a sack on 3rd down knocking them out of field goal range when they were down 3 pts, and the coach calling a run play on 3rd and long. I just felt like his coach didn’t want to use him all that much and his numbers weren’t all that great. I still love the kid but it wasn’t a once in a generation prospect type performance by any means. In the 2011 Oregon game he had a terrible decision throwing an easy int on an out that was covered nearly being a pick 6 if not for his very strong tackle of the LB (5:56 1st), great back shoulder throw to Fleener with LB all over him-NFL throw (2:14 2nd), nice quick throw to get it on quick slant before LB could get across for TD-great 2 minute drill to bring team back to 22-15 (0:28 2nd), missed open TE on deep seam route that was a tight window but ball wasn’t even close and would have been a TD (11:04 3rd), fumbled on big hit by DE as LT whiffed on him (8:48 3rd), missed open 9 route on 30 yd throw that again was somewhat tight but the WR had 2 yds on him and was a very makeable throw (7:03 3rd), threw behind open TE on shallow cross that was INC but could have been +10 yds if hit him in stride, overthrew 12 yd out by 5 yds-ball was tight coverage so maybe throw away, overthrew 15 yd in by 5 yds, had INT near end of game on perfectly thrown slant that bounced off WRs hands-not his fault (4:35 4th). In the 2011 Cal game he had a terrible 1st Q overthrowing a wide open TE for an easy TD-a must hit type play, overthrowing an open WR on corner in route-much tougher throw but still very makeable and again probably was a TD if connected, a pick 6 as he was throwing in the flat and WR fell down on slick field-TD negated by block in back but INT held up, overthrowing open 9 route out of bounds, and taking a -14 yd sack. Came back in 3rd Q going 8-9 on 2 long scoring drives capped with TDs to put game out of reach and get his numbers soaring but it was hardly a spectacular game.

Tape: 2011:Washington,California,Oregon,Oklahoma St. 2010:Oregon, Virginia Tech

Overall: With Luck there are two debates to answer as you first have to decide whether he’s the best player in this draft but next you have to decide if he’s the once in a generation prospect Kiper and McShay are making him out to be. Personally I feel that I’ve been consistent this entire season on these two questions as I’ve said he’s the best player in this draft but hardly the spectacular, best prospect since Elway, prospect. He’s a tall, thick QB with underrated athleticism but overrated arm strength and accuracy who isn’t the pure thrower an Elway or Marino was but who reminds me a lot of Manning as he doesn’t throw the best spiral or have the strongest arm but has an elite understanding of how to attack a defense. Yet he’s also like Manning in that he was dominant in college but hardly clutch losing both years easily to Oregon (the best team in his conference during his tenure) and losing his last bowl game to Oklahoma State. While I do see a lot of Mannings positives (ability to see how a defense is playing him, quick decision making keeping sack total down) and negatives (average arm strength, inability to consistently throw a tight spiral, average play in the clutch) I don’t buy into the “a more athletic Peyton Manning” talk simply because Manning is very accurate and Luck only has average accuracy. That is the most troubling aspect of Luck as a prospect as accuracy is one of the most important traits for a QB but he seems to be only average in this department. It’s even more strange as he has great touch on the ball, is outstanding in the red zone, and is great at breaking a defense down all of which tend to lend themselves to great accuracy. His numbers make this lack of accuracy even more deceiving as he’s completed at least 70% of his passes back to back seasons yet just as I mentioned numerous times when arguing against Blaine Gabbert, college completion percentage often times doesn’t paint a perfect picture. I scouted Luck in 5 games this year and I often saw him throw a wobbly ball short or behind a WR for a PBU or INT. Advocates of his have glossed over this and even derided Phil Simms for bringing it up but it’s the truth as he often didn’t make NFL throws and showed only average accuracy when pressing a defense +15 yds down the field. While this does worry me, a lot actually, I see too many other things that make him one of the more unique players I’ve ever graded. Everyone is raving right now about RGIII’s Combine workout yet what they fail to understand is that it’s unlikely he becomes the dual threat QB his 4.41 40 has people envisioning. Griffin has the pure speed to be an occasional scrambler, and an incredibly effective one at that, but his history and his frame (223 lbs) make it unlikely that he would stay healthy for a 16 game season in that capacity. Tim Tebow is 236 lbs, Cam Newton is 248 lbs, and Luck is 234 lbs all who have a thicker build that allows them to handle being hit better than the thinner Griffin. Griffin also missed most of the 2009 season and received a concussion in the 2011 season on running plays making me worried that his dual threat abilities will simply get him injured and on the sidelines. Luck has none of those worries as he’s never missed a game in his career, had 453 rushing yards on a gaudy 8.2 ypc average in 2010, and has bounced right up after enough vicious hits in and out of the pocket that I’m very comfortable with him as a dual threat. I know you won’t hear this anywhere else but I think Luck might actually be the better scrambler in the NFL. Another thing that makes Luck special is his Manningesque ability to avoid not just interceptions but sacks. Both are negative plays that inhibit a passing game and when a signal caller is able to avoid these negative plays on a consistent basis the team gets a distinct advantage over a predominantly running team or a passing team with a QB that causes negative plays. Over the past two years Luck has an incredible 3.8 to 1 TD/INT ratio (Griffin actually betters him with a 4.2 to 1) and also only has 17 sacks in those 2 years (Griffin has 47 and that’s a pretty solid number showing Luck’s elite ability in this regard). His ability to avoid the negative play is the best I’ve ever graded in a QB. Finally the last thing that I see that sets Luck apart is his film study and his elite intelligence in attacking a defense. I was too young when Manning came out in 1998 so I can’t compare the two but I can say that Luck is the best legit QB prospect (saying it in this way to avoid having to add Kellen Moore in the debate) I’ve ever graded in terms of understanding X’s and O’s and how one action relates to another. In every game I scouted I saw him look off safeties, make polished ball fakes, go to his 2nd, 3rd, and sometimes even 4th reads, and make audibles like a seasoned pro. This is the part of Luck’s game that gets me intrigued the most as I’ve literally never seen it and it just make the Manning comparisons understandable, though still unjustified in my opinion due to the huge discrepancy in their accuracies. At the end of the 2010 season I had Luck as the #1 prospect in the nation and while he didn’t have the Heisman trophy winning, national championship winning coronation many expected, he came back and had a very good 2011 season for a team that I think has overrated talent. While many consider Luck the greatest prospect since John Elway I politely disagree and have him as the 3rd best QB I’ve graded in my 14 years of scouting the NFL Draft. I still have Vick from the 2001 Draft and Eli Manning from the 2004 Draft ahead of him due to numerous reasons I won’t go into now. Yet that’s hardly a slap in the face as it gives him a higher grade than Bradford or Newton who both won ROY honors and Aaron Rodgers who is the reigning MVP. Luck is a cerebral QB with a Tebow like athleticism and durability who should be elite in the red zone, elite in his ability to avoid the negative play, and will surprise some people how effective he is as a scrambling QB. I do think his average accuracy and arm strength will limit his upside so I don’t think he’s the once in a generation prospect many make him out to be but he should be a Pro Bowl caliber QB who develops into a Top 10 QB and possibly Top 5 QB over time. Top 5 Pick as my #1 QB though Griffin is a close second 3/26/12.

2. Robert Griffen III Baylor #10 6’2 3/8 223 Jr.

Comparison: None that I can really think of. He’s a very unique talent.

Background: 1st team freshman All American in ’08 after starting every game except the first (came off bench in 2nd quarter of 1st game). 3/3 in ’09 before sustaining a knee injury and missing rest of the year-played the rest of the game after injury (MCL tear). 13/13 in ’10 earning All Big 12, Big 12 OPOY, and Comeback POY. 2011 Heisman Trophy Winner and 1st team Big 12. Owner of 14 Baylor records.

Stats: Big 12

Year

Yards

%

TD

INT

Sack

YPA

Rating

2011

4293

72.4

37

6

27

10.68

189.5

2010

3501

67.0

22

8

20

7.71

144.2

2009

481

65.2

4

0

4

6.97

142.9

2008

2091

59.9

15

3

28

7.83

142.0

Combine: Graduated in 3 years. Coaches fell in love with him on the chalkboard discussing Xs and Os.

HGT

WGT

Arms

Hands

40

Reps

Vert

Broad

Shuttle

3 Cone

1 yr %

6023

223

32.5

9.5

4.41

 

39

1000

 

 

72.3

 

 

 

Notes: Will miss the rest of the ’09 season after a knee injury against Northwestern St. in the 3rd game of the year. Bounced back nicely from a serious knee to throw for 3,200 yards while running for another 600 in 2010, will almost assuredly be back in college football next season where he will again be one of the most exciting players in the country. Good kid who everyone is raving about in terms of leadership, poise in front of a camera, and likability. In the 2011 TCU game avoided the sack and threw it away on 3rd and 4 (10:35 1st), overthrew WR on short hitch (9:26 1st), solid throw but a bit underthrown post route for +30 yds (4:56 1st), solid play action fake and then a perfect dart for 19 yds to TE for a TD (11:46 2nd), good jump ball near end zone giving his WR a better chance to get the ball near the sideline than the CB did (5:20 2nd), great 9 route pass against good coverage for 64 yd TD (8:50 3rd), and perfectly thrown 43 yd TD on 9 route just dropping it right in past the defender for by far his best pass of the game (6:11 3rd). After 3 games he has an 85.4 completion percentage, 236.23 pass efficiency, and more TDs (13) than incompletions (12)! Has a somewhat odd throwing motion but a quick release. In the 2011 Kansas St. game he threw a bullet on quick slant for a 4 yd TD that was a very tight window (13:12 1st), threw WR screen too high for inc (2:44 1st), forced right on pressure and underthrew wide open WR on 3rd and 5-was throwing on the run with pressure and across his body though (2:30 1st), 14 yd scramble showing great lateral quickness juking in and out of lanes to setup blocks and avoid defenders (0:05 1st), poor throw on open comeback throwing it low forcing a sliding catch (14:55 2nd), forced WR on screen to jump for it ruin play again (14:30 2nd), very nice 42 yd TD on 9 route showing great touch again on his deep ball (3:23 2nd), speedy 12 yd gain on QB scramble (13:30 3rd), well thrown 34 yd post for TD with WR wide open allowing him to slow a bit to catch it and not be affected (12:30 3rd), fumbled ball without being touched on scramble as he held it with only one hand way too loosely (4:41 3rd), overthrew 9 route by about 5 yds (4:46 3rd), poorly thrown 9 route that only a spectacular diving over the shoulder catch by Wright caused a 34 yd TD (3:10 3rd), poor pitch on option causing 6 yds loss and almost a turnover, and a terrible int over the middle on slant hitting MLB right in the hands to setup the game winning FG for them-1st int for him in 163 attempts (5:30 4th). His first turnover was a big one yet if Baylor had any kind of defense they would easily have won that game as his performance was still very impressive. I am having trouble grading Griffin right now as he has the size (6’2 220), arm strength, running ability, and productivity but he also has some horrible throws that make me wonder how good he really is. He throws a great deep ball and has some touch throws already that give a scout belief that he can develop but right now he is a mid to late 1st round project comparable to Josh Freeman in where they are at as passers 10/14/11. In the 2011 OU game he had a delay of game after a penalty!, hit hard and often by OU yet showed toughness standing in pocket, perfectly lofted ball to WR in stride for wide open 69 yd TD showing great accuracy and touch for WR to run underneath the ball (2:27 2nd), beautiful throw dropping 9 route just over defender’s head into WR’s hands who dropped a would be 40 yd TD (9:55 3rd), overthrew wide open WR open on sideline forcing punt, overthrew wide open WR for would be TD going a bit too far out in front (3:43 3rd), 24 yd scramble showing very good speed, great play action and a bullet to TE for 10 yd TD (1:15 3rd). One of 4 players in FBS history with +9,000 yards passing and +2,000 rushing (Dan Lefevoure, Colin Kaepernick, Tim Tebow). In the 2011 Texas game he had a nice feel for the rush stepping up in pocket and throwing quickly to WR on sideline, terrible decision throwing INT getting picked by S Blake Gideon coming off another WR in the end zone (2:02 2nd), great throw between CB and S in zone throwing a dart very accurately-NFL throw (12:22 3rd), nice 10 yd TD run between the tackles showing good vision and quickness (7:26 3rd), stepped up in pocket and zinged ball across the middle for 10 yds against very good coverage showing his pocket presence and accuracy again, perfect 9 route in stride to open WR for 40 yd TD-throws the best deep ball of anyone in college (7:50 4th), threw big hit on LB in space to give his RB more yards. In the 2011 Washington game he had a great throw on the run for +25 yds as a rusher hit him-great arm strength, good 10 yd cross in stride dropped, 7 yd hitch, 12 yd curl, 3 yd designed run, great recovery from snap not being ready taking it on a bounce and throwing for 4 yds on 3rd and 3 (12:20 1st), 0 route to WR who took it 11 yds for TD, good 8 yd hitch as he was hit-dropped, blocked for RB on long TD run-great speed and toughness attacking defender (6:05 1st), got 3 yds on scramble after pocket collapsed, 10 yd hitch +YAC, snuck on 4th and 1, elite 24 yd scrambling TD breaking away from 2 rushers in the backfield then avoided ankle tackle as he was leaving pocket racing through secondary for the awesome score (0:55 1st), threaded needle on 10 yd curl but dropped-low ball where it needed to be, great speed on 7 yd run-darted through hole very quickly (10:55 2nd), 10 yd designed run-quick, 5 yd scramble, fumbled ball on normal sack, 10 yd vs. zone for YAC, miscom with WR, threw free play 9 route just out of bounds, great speed for 15 yds on QB keeper zone read, good juke of DE going inside for 3 yds on zone read, good jump ball throw giving WR a chance but pbu, perfect jump pass for 2 yds on 2 pt conversion-Tebow style (8:28 3rd), just overthrew on rollout a 51 yd TD, bullet 15 yd in to WR in stride-NFL throw showing accuracy and arm strength (6:40 3rd), underthrew 9 route slightly but still a good throw on 49 yd 9 route (9:06 4th). He once again impressed me with his elite ability to throw the deep ball but this being his last game I think Art Briles took off the chains on him and allowed him to run the ball more than he usually does and it excited me for his future. He has legit 4.4 speed and his burst is very noticeable making me think he can’t run a Tebow offense b/c he is just too small and wouldn’t hold up to the pounding but he can have 5 or so designed runs a game that could be lethal against a defense. I had a top 10 grade on him most of the year but this game officially moves him into top 5 status 1/14/12.

Tape: 2011: TCU, Kansas St., Texas A&M, Oklahoma St., Washington 2010: Texas A&M, Illinois

Overall: Unlike most scouts I had a 1st round grade on Griffin most of this year yet even I was caught off guard a bit on how fast he developed. As recently as November I was saying he was a mid to late 1st rounder who was an elite athlete and one of the best I’ve ever graded at throwing the deep ball but still struggled a lot with short and intermediate throws. Yet towards the end of the season everything seemed to click for him and he just dominated talented defenses like Texas and Oklahoma (not going to pretend Tech or Washington has a good D) looking like the most talented player in the country. Don’t get me wrong, I think Robert Griffin the 3rd is the most talented player in this draft yet I have him at #2 because he’s more of a roll of the dice in a lot of ways. At the end of last year Luck was my #1 rated player in the country yet RGIII was a 2nd or 3rd rounder with a lot of promise. At the end of last year Luck was 2nd in the voting for the Heisman Trophy yet Griffin wasn’t even considered as a finalist. At the end of last year Luck was being discussed as the greatest prospect since John Elway yet Griffin wasn’t even making most scouts Top 5 QBs list for next year. Griffin came on strong and at times looked superior to Luck this season but at other times Griffin looked raw and inaccurate. With Luck you know that at worst he’s a top 15 QB down the road yet the floor with Griffin is much lower and to me isn’t worth the slightly higher ceiling it comes with. Griffin has a stronger arm, is faster, is more eloquent and easy going with teammates, seems to have more commercial potential as a spokesman, and throws a better deep ball yet I’ll take Luck. Griffin has a long way to go in terms of reading defenses, is coming from a vertical spread system which accentuated his best throw-no NFL team throws deep as much as Baylor did last year, is inferior at feeling pressure, is less accurate on short routes, and has far more chance of being injury prone than Luck (missed most of ’09 season and had concussion in ’11). It wouldn’t shock me at all if Griffin became a better QB than Luck as he could light the NFL on fire if put in the right scheme with explosive talent at the WR position. Yet Luck has been the more consistent player and has the much higher floor so Griffin settles in at #2. Still though he’s not just the 2nd best QB in this draft but the 2nd best QB of the past 5 years I’ve graded, barely beating out Sam Bradford and easily beating Matthew Stafford and Matt Ryan. Griffin has a little more bust potential than some of those just mentioned but also has the highest ceiling of any of them as I didn’t even try and compare him to anyone since he’s unlike any QB I’ve ever graded. He has WR speed so inevitably he’ll be compared to Vick but he’s taller, smarter, more mature, works harder, and more accurate so I don’t think it’s an apt one. He has a strong arm and is black so he’ll also be compared to Newton or Vince Young but again he’s smarter, more mature, works harder, and more accurate (just no longer taller). To compare him to a black QB doesn’t make much sense as most before him had a dual threat, inaccurate and raw as a thrower skill set thatGriffin transcends. If I had to make any comparison I would say he’s a less accurate but stronger armed Steve Young. Now that’s a scary thought. #2 QB in this draft and of the past 5 years 3/26/12.

3. Brock Osweiler Arizona St. #17 6’6 7/8 242 Jr.

Background: Big time basketball player in HS and committed to Gonzaga as a basketball player in ’07 before switching teams and sports. Went to HS in Montana. 1/6 in ’09 as a true freshman becoming 1st true freshman to start at QB since Jake Plummer in ’93. 1/6 also in ’10. 13/13 in ’11. He turns 22 years old November 22, 2012.

Stats: Pac 12

Year

Yards

%

TD

INT

Sack

YPA

Rating

2012

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

4036

63.2

26

13

28

7.82

140.5

2010

797

56.9

5

0

7

7.31

133.4

2009

249

43.6

2

2

6

4.53

86.4

Combine: Didn’t workout at the Combine.

HGT

WGT

Arms

Hands

40

Reps

Vert

Broad

Shuttle

3 Cone

1 yr %

6067

242

32.63

9.88

 

 

 

 

 

 

56.2

 

 

 

Notes: Tallest QB in FBS at 6’8. Has a face similar to the boyfriend on Modern Family. Averaged 24.9 pts and 14.5 rebs as a Jr. on his HS team. Coaches said in 2010 he wasn’t that hard of a worker but in 2011 he revved it up. Works with the same coach that changed Tim Tebow’s delivery to speed it up and is probably the reason Brock has a quick release for such a tall guy. In the 2011 Missouri game he showed very quick feet and a smoothness in the pocket you rarely see from a guy that tall, nice strong arm on +15 yd pass between safety and CB on the sideline (13:25 1st), poor throw on open out forcing FG, perfect throw in stride to wide open WR for +30 (9:10 1st), possibly a poor decision but great throw nonetheless threading the needle between two defenders for a very tough 11 yd TD (8:20 1st), solid agility but not much speed on 5 yd scramble (2:00 1st), good 20 yd curl showing good arm strength and even better timing as he let it go before the WR broke-even more impressive as it was on the wide side (1:40 1st), 8 yd scramble, easily got half a yard on QB sneak-could be a weapon in that, good 60 yd throw on open 9 route but not great as WR did have to slow a bit for it (7:30 2nd), good throw between CB and S (3:57 2nd), very nice 13 yd bullet on the run after he stepped up in the pocket to avoid rush-NFL looking throw (11:22 3rd), great throw in tight window but dropped by WR forcing punt, avoided rush in pocket and ran for 10 yds, showed solid speed, great agility, and good strength breaking a tackle on 12 yd TD run weaving around guys (14:24 4th), great accuracy and strength on 10 yd curl in very tight window (9:37 4th), great 15 yd slant to WR again in tight window to convert 3rd and 7 (1st OT). In the 2011 Oregon game he started great going 10-12 with 2 TDs marching up and down the field on the first two possessions ending with an elite NFL throw on back shoulder fade in end zone (4:13 1st), slightly overthrew WR on 9 route who also fell down allowing INT (1:01 2nd), maybe ball slipped but he threw a duck that was a jump ball in double coverage on 9 route that should have been picked (5:25 3rd), very nice job avoiding unblocked rusher by stepping up in pocket then throwing a strike to WR who broke a tackle for an additional 25 yds-turned a -3 yd sack into a +30 yd gain (14:00 4th), fumbled ball on blindside sack (2:02 4th), threw perfect TD to WR who dropped it with deflection going for INT that wasn’t his fault at all (0:42 4th). Had an amazing start to the game yet cooled off considerably as his WRs couldn’t consistently get open. Still the game reinforced the fact that he is a future NFL starting QB in my book and I’m officially moving him into my top 50 10/18/11. In the 2011 Cal game he had a horrible INT throwing a curl with a DB covering the flat easily dropping back for the ball that was late and telegraphed, threw a bullet in coverage for 15 yd in, threw ball away avoiding sack, great 35 yd TD on back shoulder 9 route against good coverage-NFL throw (1:10 2nd). He again impressed me with his arm strength, accuracy, deep ball, and ability to read coverages (except for the one poor throw). Every time I see him I see the same thing: future NFL star 11/28/11. In the 2011 Boise St. game he had solid throw on 15 yd in but pbu as was tight cov, solid 5 yd scramble, perfect throw on 15 yd out but poor decision as CB jumped it nearly for INT, overthrew 9 route vs. tight cov, inaccurate on rollout throwing behind WR by a few feet for INC, good strength breaking DT tackle on scramble going from -2 to +4 yds, solid 8 yd curl, badly missed open 8 yd out, fumbled snap-previously bobbled a low one this one went right through his hands, poor decision throwing to cross hitting LB in the hands for nearly an INT not seeing him in zone, solid 15 yd pass in middle to WR vs. zone, pbu by LB on 15 yd in to open WR, 15 yd out to open WR-a little high but pretty good, solid job stepping up into pocket and throwing bullet for 10 yds vs. zone in middle of field, badly underthrew 9 route on 4th and 4 looking like he threw then ducked on unblocked blitz (12:10 3rd), underthrew 9 route again but was PI this time, comfortable on rollout from play action, bad throw on fade that wasn’t open on 4th and 1 throwing pick that was returned +100 yds by CB for TD to continue blowout-good speed and hustle trying to tackle defender (6:55 3rd), good 20 yd post in tight coverage-NFL throw (6:10 3rd), good 20 yd curl, very good seam route to open WR for 21 yd TD (13:10 4th), elite play avoiding rusher with good mobility then rolling right and throwing bullet accurately for 11 yd curl-NFL throw and shows his elite potential (11:16 4th), elite throw with a bullet on 14 yd slant to WR-Cutler like speed on that throw (1:10 4th), overthrew 9 route for INC vs. tight cov, 30 yd TD on WR screen in garbage time. He didn’t have his best game by any means but the game was lost by his D and partially by his pick 6. He showed a lot of heart battling the entire game and continued to show his talents as they had no running game and the only guy getting open was WR Gerell Robinson who he went time and again to in the middle of the field for dink and dunks. He is still raw but I still see a future top 15 NFL starter every time I watch this kid 12/29/11.

Tape: 2011:Missouri,Oregon,Cal,Boise St.

Overall: Osweiler is almost surely going to be one of my bigger discrepancies this year as I’ve had a top level grade on him for much of the year while others had 2nd-5th round grades on him. Wes Bunting actually graded him as his #10 QB when he came out in January which shows the extremes as I have him as my #3 QB and a top 15 grade. Part of the reason is Brock’s fault though and I want to mention it first as I can’t remember the last time someone messed up their draft prospects so much. He only has 15 career starts to his name yet he shocked everyone by leaving a year early. Part of that I get as his coach was fired and his top 2 WRs were seniors but he needs more starting experience and unfortunately he won’t be getting it. Also Brock left early yet has given scouts no chance to see him since the season began as he didn’t go to an All-Star game that allowed juniors to play in it and he said no to throwing at the combine-a very dumb decision to me. All of this has him sliding down some draft boards at the time I was expecting him to rise on them. Yet I’m still a believer because the kid has elite talent. At 6’7 he has the rare height to easily see over everyone and has a normal release meaning he will very rarely ever get his balls tipped at the LOS. His game doesn’t act like a 6’7 guy’s should as he has a normal release (most tall guys have a slower windup), is pretty mobile, and doesn’t seem to struggle with details like taking snaps from center. Brock is a 6’7 guy who I forget is a 6’7 guy because when I watch him I just see the next young stud QB who has a strong arm, good accuracy, is very good at threading the needle, and as a 20 year old who had only 2 starts under his belt carried his team on offense. Their offense was not a dink and dunk affair or a run oriented ball control type scheme. They said we have a QB who can toss it and we are going to throw it everywhere to try and win games. His offensive line was average, his receiving corp was above average, and his D was poor yet he kept them in most games due largely to his playmaking skills. At this point I would be surprised if he even snuck into the late 1st round but I am keeping my same grade I had a few months ago as he just looks like a future Pro Bowl QB, albeit one who will possibly struggle early on due to his lack of experience and stupid decision to leave school early. Top 15 and my #3 QB 3/13/12.

4. Ryan TannehillTexas A&M #17 6’3 7/8 221 Sr.

Comparison: Jake Locker

Background: Grew up dreaming of playing QB for Texas Tech but not recruited by them. Walked on at Texas A&M. Redshirted in ’07. Lost QB job in spring camp and moved to WR where he set freshman records with 55 844 5 TD in ’08 earning team Offensive MVP by teammates. Played at WR in all 13 games in ’09 earning honorable mention Big 12 with 46 609 4 TD. Took over as QB midway through the season in ’10 leading team to 6 straight wins to end season and earning honorable mention Big 12. Earned 1st team All Big 12 academic honors every year and plans to be an orthopedic surgeon someday. Got married in January 2012.

Stats: Big 12

Year

Yards

%

TD

INT

Sack

YPA

Rating

2011

3744

61.6

29

15

9

7.05

133.2

2010

1638

65

13

6

12

7.0

137.0

2009

60

50

0

0

2

7.5

113.0

2008

8

100

 

 

1

8.0

167.2

Combine: One of the most shocking numbers out of this Combine, definitely the most shocking no one is talking about, was Tannehill measuring ‘9.00 hands which were the smallest of any of the 19 QBs. Meaningless numbers are too often thrown around by the scouting community but I vouch for hand size legitimacy as small hands tends to lead to fumbles. Daunte Culpepper, Tony Romo, Alex Smith, etc. are all good examples. Huge red flag to me.

HGT

WGT

Arms

Hands

40

Reps

Vert

Broad

Shuttle

3 Cone

1 yr %

6037

221

32.63

9

 

 

 

 

 

 

40

 

 

 

Notes: Was 3rd QB on depth chart so moved to WR where he set freshman records for receptions and yards for the Aggies. He understands the position extremely well and is a good athlete yet I don’t see him as a legit NFL prospect and he really wants to be a QB not a WR. 3.6 GPA in Biology with plans to attend Medical School and become a surgeon. In the ’10 Cotton Bowl vs. LSU showed his great athleticism for a QB with a 32 yd scramble (6:50 1st), overthrew Ryan Swopes on 15 yd out near sidelines (5:41 1st), somewhat inaccurate 5 yd out on 3rd and 3 getting Fuller clocked by Patrick Peterson (5:11 1st), good 8 yd out vs. Peterson’s good coverage showing good timing and arm strength with great accuracy (0:50 1st), overthrew well covered 9 route on 3rd and 21 out of bounds by a few yards (15:00 2nd), great 15 yd back shoulder throw to Fuller vs. great Peterson coverage (9:23 2nd), perfect 10 yd slant as he threw it in a window-two DL jumped to bat it down-threw it in stride and low so the WR could slide into it to avoid a hit (8:05 2nd), miscommunication int with Nwachukwu as he ran an out instead of a 9 (4:07 2nd), miscommunication with Fuller as he ran a 9 and Ryan threw a curl vs. good Peterson coverage (1:10), very good pass on a rollout to Nwachukwu on 19 yd out but was a pbu due to great coverage (10:40 3rd), good 12 yd curl by Fuller vs. poor Peterson coverage as he gave a 10 yd cushion-showed good timing, arm strength, and recognition of soft coverage (10:07 3rd), good pooch punt downing it inside the 20 showing good motion and very good hang time (7:02 3rd), good 16 yd zone read keeper breaking MLB Kelvin Sheppard’s tackle showing good speed, great decisiveness, and good strength (14:30 4th), and poor decision on int by Tyrann Mathieu’s diving int vs. Ryan Swopes 5 yd out (5:37 4th). I am a big fan of Ryan’s as he has the athleticism, height, strength, accuracy, and decision making to become a quality starting QB in the NFL. Right now, with his limited experience, I have him rated as a 3rd rounder but it wouldn’t surprise me if he moved up into the mid 1st round by the 2012 draft 1/22/11. Enters the 2011 season ranked #38 on my Big Board. In the 2011 SMU game had a good 15 yd pass on a rollout to the TE who caught it perfectly in stride (7:42 1st), made an easy 15 yd catch difficult for Swopes as he threw it too low (2:45 1st), great job avoiding the sack spinning away from the rusher to roll out and throw the ball away (5:57 2nd), maybe the best throw I’ve seen in his career to date as he is under pressure, rolling to his right when on the run off balance he throws from the 36 yd line a perfect strike to Swopes at the 1 yd line with the safety right next to him but just looking away from the ball for a 28 yd TD (5:46 2nd), amazing low and away throw to Swopes who was completely covered for 19 yd catch (2:25 2nd), good job looking at RB in the flat to bring CB in zone open to open Fuller for 15 yd catch and run (13:42 3rd), perfectly thrown seam route touch pass just over the head of the linebacker who was only 2 yards behind him (3:24 3rd), and messed up the play action fake having the RB run into the ball for fumble that he recovered (14:30 4th). In the 2011 Oklahoma St. game he overthrew Fuller on 12 yd curl but showed good timing with it out as he was cutting (14:11 1st), 65 yd run on keeper of read option showing very nice speed (14:00 1st), great play moving into opening in pocket as DE got outside edge then stepping into perfect 15 yd throw to an open Swopes (3:12 1st), poor 6 sec coverage sack as OL was chopping so clearly it was meant for a quick throw and he should have thrown it away (14:11 2nd), perfect 17 yd throw to covered Fuller for TD as he made extended catch in traffic (10:30 2nd), good throw on post to Fuller as it was incomplete but he threw it up where Fuller could go after it and wasn’t a risk for an int (7:02 2nd), great athleticism avoiding rusher who was untouched to still roll right and make perfect pass for 12 yds (6:30 2nd), perfect 9 yd curl against tight coverage (11:42 3rd), missed open McNeal on cross forcing a punt (10:16 3rd), threw 10 yd curl to covered Fuller for int (3:13 3rd), had his legs held as he threw the ball but it didn’t really affect the pass as it was on target but thrown into double coverage for an easy int (1:06 3rd), missed open 8 yd out as he has lost his rhythm completely at this point (14:02 4th), perfect throw in stride to Swopes for 25 yds on a play that was critical to avoid getting blown out (13:21 4th), had back to back throws tipped at LOS (6:00 4th), avoided blitzer in the hole then ran for 9 yds on a play most QBs would have lost 5 yds on (3:30 4th), great drive getting his rhythm back ending the +10 play drive with an accurate 4 yd out for TD to Fuller (2:21 4th), and threw to covered Fuller with it bouncing to another defender on the pbu by Brown for an int-game over (1:30 4th). Easily was his worst game of his career to this point yet it wasn’t as bad as it looks as Fuller just never got separation vs. Brown all day long and 2 of his 3 ints were just trusting too much in his “star” WR. In the 2011 Arkansas game had a 26 yd QB keeper on the read option to start the game (13:30 1st), great touch NFL throw to Swopes on the sidelines in between a low defender and an oncoming safety high (4:55 1st), terrible decision and throw for int on 9 route he threw more like a post-doesn’t seem to throw a very good deep ball (4:30 1st), 12 yd gain on QB keeper of read option (8:00 2nd), great timing throw for 15 yd curl to Fuller on sideline throwing it before he even broke (1:40 2nd), good throw in tight window for 5 yds short of sticks but nothing else open (10:30 3rd), NFL caliber throw rolling left throwing a touch pass over defender’s head right to Swope on the sideline (2:31 3rd), and very good accuracy on 10 yd curl to Fuller with defender all over him (14:22 4th). Only player in FBS history to have a 400 yd passing game and 200 yd receiving game.

Tape: 2010 Cotton Bowl vs. LSU 2011: SMU, Oklahoma St., Arkansas, Idaho, Texas Tech, Baylor, Iowa St., Kansas St., UT, Northwestern

Overall: Ryan’s type has been seen before. He’s a short term starting QB in college who lacks experience and elite production. Yet he makes up for it with an elite combination of physical tools, good character, a solid understanding of the game, and at times there were glimpses of him playing at an elite level that makes people project with him. He’s a combination of Jake Locker and Mark Sanchez in that he lacks a lot of starting experience at QB (Sanchez) yet has the athleticism and character that makes scouts drool over his potential (Locker). He’s the only player in FBS history to have a 400 yd passing game and a 200 yd receiving game showing that he didn’t just play QB and WR, he was a very good QB and WR. I was on the forefront of the Tannehill wave as I had a 2nd-3rd round grade on him last year but said 14 months ago, “it wouldn’t surprise me if he moved up into the mid 1st round by the 2012 draft.” That was a pretty big leap of faith for a guy who had only 6 career starts at QB to that point and was rated as a mid round pick by most outlets but I saw his physical skills and considered them 1st round caliber. The best thing about him though is his character and his football intelligence as there are a lot of tall, fast, strong armed guys but few who have Ryan’s work ethic and even fewer who have his game knowledge. Regularly this year I saw him look off safeties, make very nice play action ball fakes, throw the ball away when no one was open, and complete back shoulder throws against tight coverage. Those aren’t things you usually see in 1st year full time starters yet they were common occurrences. Outside of Luck and Kellen Moore, who is in a league of his own in the category, Tannehill is one of the smartest QBs in this draft and plays the game at a much more cerebral level than most. He also excites me due to his rare athleticism as I think he would have ran a 4.5 or 4.6 40 at the Combine and worked out very well as he showed a nice blend of athleticism as a WR in his early years and he occasionally showed it off at QB with long TD runs. He will fit in well with the new era of QBs like Tebow, Newton, Luck, and Griffen and is right in the mix with all of them in terms of size/speed/strength ratios. Yet while I love his character, athleticism, intelligence, work ethic, and strong arm I do have concerns about him. He’s accurate as a passer but is very streaky and there were a few times (Oklahoma St., Arkansas, Texas) where he lost the strike zone (always in the 2nd half) and would go into stretches where he almost couldn’t complete a pass. That’s extremely scary to me as Sherman was fired for his team’s choke jobs but he wasn’t the one throwing the passes and it often seemed like Tannehill just shut down at times for his team. Especially in the Oklahoma St. and Texas games he went into a black hole and never came out of it. I think that it’s unfair to put all of the blame of A&M’s 6 losses on Tannehill’s back but it’s also naïve to say he wasn’t a big part of it. I also am wary of his small hands and it’s a big deal considering he’s being advertised as an elite athlete who is worth waiting for development wise. He has 9 inch hands (smallest among the 19 QBs at the Combine this year) and while there are a lot of measurements scouts throw out there that I often dismiss, hand size isn’t one of them when we are discussing QBs and RBs as it’s a very good indicator of future success. Small handed players fumble the ball much more often than bigger handed players. It’s as simple as that and history proves it over and over again (Culpepper, Romo, Vick vs. big hands like Aikman and McNabb) yet it also means a QB will have a harder time throwing a ball in wet conditions as well as have a harder time throwing the deep ball. Tannehill has 10 career fumbles (4 in 2011) which is a pretty high number for a guy who didn’t play that much for part of his career. He also struggles throwing the deep ball as he lacks timing on it and I suspect he will be mainly a short to intermediate passer in the pros. His small hands aren’t a deathblow by any means but they are a red flag and combines with his streaky accuracy, questionable deep throw ability, and lack of experience to make me pause before giving him a top level grade. In the end he gets the grade I thought was possible 14 months ago as a mid 1st rounder as he has some warts but is a similar player to Jake Locker who went in the Top 10 last year. He might take a little while to develop into a starter but his height, speed, arm strength, accuracy (inconsistent but usually very good), work ethic, character, and understanding of the game make him a high ceilinged future starter albeit one who has some warts and lacks experience. Top 20 3/14/12.

5. Brandon Weeden Oklahoma St. #3 6’3 ½ 221 Sr.

Comparison: Gus Frerotte

Background: Walked on to OSU after 5 seasons of minor league baseball at the age of 23. 2nd round pick of Yankees in 2002. Left the sport partially because he tore his labrum-didn’t have surgery. Says throwing baseball hurts but throwing football for some reason doesn’t.

Stats: Big 12

Year

Yards

%

TD

INT

Sack

YPA

Rating

2011

4727

72.3

37

13

12

8.38

159.8

2010

4277

66.9

34

13

8

8.37

154.1

2009

248

62.5

4

1

1

10.33

196.0

2008

8

33.3

0

0

0

2.67

55.7

Combine: Overthrew WR on outside shoulder route drill. Overthrew WR again. Perfect throw on outside shoulder route drill. Too far ahead of WR on quick out drill-very short kid though. Threw ball behind WR on quick out drill. Forced tough catch on quick out drill. Forced tough catch on curl route. Slightly overthrew WR on post corner route drill then threw it perfectly next time. Overthrew WR OOB on post corner route drill.

HGT

WGT

Arms

Hands

40

Reps

Vert

Broad

Shuttle

3 Cone

1 yr %

6034

221

9.63

9.63

 

 

 

 

 

 

43.1

 

 

 

Notes: Is a 26 year old Jr. who was a top pick for baseball out of HS yet recently gave it up to try football. With most baseball players he is behind the curve in terms of reading defenses, pocket awareness, etc. yet he does throw a nice ball and his pocket presence is impressive enough. Has been putting up great numbers (68% 1,610 18/6 after 5 games) yet they are somewhat deceiving as he has played mostly poor defenses and is in a Mike Leach type offense which inflates QB numbers. I could see him developing into a late round flier for a team seeking an immediate backup yet since his first year in the NFL will be either as a 27 or 28 (if he returns) year old, there is limited chance he ever becomes a starter. Was a baseball player in the Yankee farm system. In the ’10 Valero Bowl vs. Arizona he threw a 71 yard TD to Blackmon almost perfectly in stride (9:00 1st), had a great 15 yd out route that he had to loft over the defender’s head showing outstanding touch (0:40 1st), had a great back shoulder throw to Blackmon for an amazing tip-toe sideline TD as CB had perfect coverage (5:18 3rd), had very nice touch pass on deep jump ball TD (3:27 3rd), and had perfect pass in a very small window on a 5yd out (8:50 4th). I like him a lot more now than when I scouted him vs. TAMU as he has really matured and shows great touch on his balls. He looks superior to Chris Weinke who was a mid rounder but his age is definitely a factor. 3rd round 1/14/11 but is returning for ’11. Enters the 2011 season ranked #43 on my Big Board. In the 2011 Arizona game had a strike that was hard and accurate on the 20 yd out (13:05 1st), good throw, though a bit high, to Blackmon for +20 yards on a post (6:10 1st), coming into this game he had a 20/1 ratio in the red zone!, perfect 3 yd fade to Blackmon-about as much an NFL throw as there is for scouts as it was pinpoint in stride (2:55 1st), started the game 13-13 and later 19-20 looking incredibly sharp as they took a quick 21-0 lead, just overthrew WR Tracy Moore on wide open post (1:15 1st), tripped coming out from under center (11:23 2nd), very nice eye and ball fakes to setup the counter screen (10:50 2nd), perfect +20 yd post to Anyiam who was actually covered very well throwing it in stride right to his hands-NFL throw (2:46 2nd), a tad underthrown 9 route but still hit Blackmon in the hands and was dropped negating the +40 yd play (1:55 2nd), overthrew tight window on curl route (12:27 3rd), terrible pass throwing basically a jump ball in the flat that could have been pick sixed very easily (6:14 3rd), threw int right to the defender possibly due to WR miscommunication (4:02 3rd), perfectly thrown fade pass gain to Blackmon for 5 yd TD (0:31 3rd), set school record in middle of 4th Q with 40 completions in the game, I get that Weeden will be a 29 or 30 year old rookie dramatically reducing his overall value but his performance tonight was elite and if he was a 22 yr old I would argue he is a top 10 pick. Teams will have to figure out how much to downgrade him due to his advanced age but he looks like an NFL starter to me already 9/9/11. In the 2011 Texas A&M game he started the game 13-15 with 1 drop by WR, missed Randle on back shoulder wheel route forcing punt on 3rd an 4 (8:08 2nd), poor throw on 5 yd out to Cooper (0:44 2nd), threw behind Blackmon on quick slant for incompletion (14:20 3rd), poor 10 yd throw to tight window of Blackmon’s quick slant for inc (14:15 4th), and high throw over Blackmon’s head on 3rd and 3 forcing punt and potential Aggie victory (1:56 4th). Though he threw for 440 yds he really didn’t play that good of a game missing a few open receivers, not handling the inside blitz very well in the first half, and looking like just an above average QB against that D. His best friend was the 3rd Q when the Aggie D got tired as that was when most of his yardage came but it was more that than any special throws by him. In the 2011 Oklahoma game he looked much better than Landry Jones throwing the ball with a quicker release, stronger arm, and more confident threading the needle. Had a +50 yd catch and run hitting WR Tracy Moore in stride vs. trailing LB on a crossing route, gorgeous 20 yd corner route throwing it over CB who was guarding the 10 yd curl and ahead of safety a bit deeper-NFL throw (9:42 2nd), overthrew 10 yd cross for pbu and could have been an INT, great throw with LB going unblocked and in his LOS he threw sidearmed for 10 yd curl showing accuracy, improvisation, quick thinking, and calm under pressure (14:00 3rd), poor throw on short pass to open WR for INC, just overthrew open 20 yd post for TD going off WRs outstretched hands. Senior Bowl: Day 2: 1×1: Great throw on covered 9 route perfectly placed but dropped by WR. 11×11: Very good throw on the route vs. tight cov to WR on curl, poor throw on 9 route going just too far for INC with accurate throw being walk in TD. Day 3: 11×11: Really good job staying patient for 5 sec in pocket and throwing accurate throw in traffic on cross with 2 defenders very close-elite for a prospect in threading the needle, good throw on post corner but WR not open for INC. In the 2011 Senior Bowl Game: Got start in game, quick 5 yd hitch turned into 10 yds on YAC, 20 yd curl on target in middle of field vs. solid cov, good velocity but a little short on 20 yd out and up by TE who made very nice catch-could have been intentionally underthrown to “throw him open,” a bit off target on out forcing one handed catch on 8 yd out, solid 8 yd curl, a tad behind WR on slant for INC, got pressured and looked slow in pocket sliding for 5 yd loss to avoid hit, got hit as he threw out causing ball to flutter and go well short right to LB for INT (2:30 1st), given final drive-threw an absolute duck well short on 9 route to WR for easy INT (4:05 4th). Was far and away the #1 out of the 6 QBs at the Senior Bowl.

Tape: 2011:Arizona,Texas A&M,Iowa St., Texas, Oklahoma, Baylor, Stanford, Senior Bowl Practices & Game 2010 Valero Bowl vs.Arizona

Overall: Brandon is a good sized (6’3 ½ 221) QB who not only is much older (will turn 29 as a rookie) but isn’t that experienced either with only two full years of starting experience under his belt. He has a solid arm but it isn’t a howitzer, he has below average mobility (probably runs a 4.9 40), and at times he’s a little too aggressive causing him to get more multi pick games than most of the top QBs. So why do I like him as a late 1st rounder? The reason is his ability to thread the needle as seen by the fact that every team they faced for 2 years straight tried to stop Justin Blackmon but couldn’t because Weeden wouldn’t let them. He has one of the quickest 0 routes I’ve ever seen and he admits that it’s because he doesn’t even find the laces of the ball when it’s snapped to him as he just grabs it and chunks it to the flat. He and Kellen Moore throw the best fade routes in the end zone of any QB in this draft dropping it perfectly into their WR’s hands in stride. He’s great at reading coverages and adjusting to a defense when they throw different things at him as he seems to have a very analytical mind and understands the passing game. Finally he is one of the most consistent QBs in the nation as he had at least 1 TD in 12 of 13 games, had a +60% completion in 12 of 13 games, and threw for at least 200 yds in all 13 games. The Oklahoma St. defense gave up their fair share of points yet he kept them in every game and he was a double overtime thriller vs. Iowa St. away from leading his team to the BCS Championship Game. Brandon is a guy that gets discounted due to his age but he’s in a unique position as a prospect as he actually played against pretty much all of his competition in the QB class this year. He played Luck, Griffin, Tannehill, and Foles this season and went 4-0 against them by a combined score of 167-105. It’s hard for me to watch all of those games, see Brandon put up superior numbers to those other guys, see his NFL caliber arm strength and accuracy, and then dismiss him as too old. I said it before and I’ll said it again, “If Brandon Weeden was 22 years old he’d be a top 10 pick.” Unfortunately he’s not and it will affect his grade as a team will be taking a QB with the shelf life of a RB yet he was one of the best QBs in the nation last year in college and I promise you he will be one of the best QBs to come out of this draft class. Late 1st round as my #5 QB 3/26/12.

6. Case Keenum Houston #7 6’0 5/8 208 Sr.

Comparison: Marc Bulger

Stats: C-USA 

Year

Yards

%

TD

INT

Sack

YPA

Rating

2011

5631

71.0

48

5

17

9.34

174.0

2010

636

65.6

5

5

0

9.94

159.3

2009

5671

70.3

44

15

16

8.10

154.8

2008

5020

67.4

44

11

25

8.52

159.9

2007

2259

68.5

14

10

13

8.28

147.6

Combine: Solid throw in 9 route back shoulder drill. Perfect throw in stride on 9 route back shoulder drill-38 yds in the air on just a flick of his wrist. A bit low on quick slant drill, good throw in stride to WR next time. Low and away then a bit behind WR on speed out drill-both catchable but both poor throws. A bit low and ahead of WR on dig route drill-perfect throw next time in stride but ball dropped again by WR? Too low on speed out drill then had perfect throw in stride to next WR. Terrible throw on on speed out drill-3 yds past WR at least. Not bad throw but WR just went OOB on corner route drill-partially due to him jump catching when not needed. He said later that he strained his hamstring in his second 40 attempt and was a reason why he was so bad in the position drills.

HGT

WGT

Arms

Hands

40

Reps

Vert

Broad

Shuttle

3 Cone

1 yr %

6005

208

30.88

9.13

4.82

 

32.5

807

 

 

39.2

 

 

 

Notes: Had an outstanding ’08 (5020 44/11 67%) with great games vs. Oklahoma St. (387 4/0 57%), Air Force (362 4/1 59%), and East Carolina (401 3/1 82%) each of whom went to a bowl game in ’08. Goes into ’09 as a dark horse Heisman candidate as his numbers will be incredible. Had a great game against then #5 Oklahoma St. (366 3/1 69%) in their 45-35 shocker at Stillwater, Oklahoma. Followed it up with another great game vs. Texas Tech (435 1/1 65%) as he led the team on a 95 yard TD drive with 49 seconds remaining to win 28-27. Granted a medical hardship due to his ACL tear in the 3rd game of the year allowing him a 6th year for 2011. He has a very quick release. Works entirely out of the shotgun, usually in a spread formation. In the 2011 Southern Miss game (CUSA Championship) he overthrew a wide open WR on 9 route for possible long TD by a few yards (14:36 1st), okay mobility on 5 yd scramble but not that fast or elusive-better than a Landry Jones but worse than most, solid job rolling to his left away from collapsing pocket and doing a touch pass for 20 yds in middle of zone for first on 3rd and 17-came back on penalty, has checked into good run plays very well this year per coaches, 10 yd throw dropped by WR, miscom on 15 yd hitch throwing on 4th down for TO (5:27 1st), WR dropped 4 yd pass, solid 11 yd curl to open Edwards, perfectly thrown post in stride to WR for 83 yd TD but he dropped it! (3:27 1st), play action faked bootleg to his left and threw across body to WR for 15 yds-NFL throw (1:06 1st), very bad sack doing a circle backwards and being taken down for -19 yds, solid 5 yd out throwing low and away from defender, solid 9 yd TD but the whole drive was just dinks and dunks, easy 8 yd in, good 50 yd seam pass-40 was YAC but showed his quick release and read on D, great job going through numerous reads, moving around in pocket, and finally finding a 4th read open yet through the 12 yd pass a little high and WR dropped it-more drop than bad throw but a little of both (4:07 2nd), solid 9 yd run seeing opening, great play that won’t show in the stats as he looked over field then was dumping off to RB in flat but saw a LB coming on hard so then went where LB was and threw a low and away ball to WR that he dropped, tough catch-will just show as INC but ball in flat is TFL and was almost an 8 yd play out of nothing showing his intelligence (13:30 3rd), 7 yd dump off over middle, NFL throw on 15 yd throw vs. zone with 3 defenders in the area-good accuracy, timing, and velocity (12:35 3rd), hit as he threw for INC, hit again as he threw for INC, good throw behind WR for 12 yds as LB was nearby and he had to throw it that way for completion, showed toughness staying strong in pocket and throwing accurately for 12 yds to TE as he got hit (10:56 3rd), doesn’t throw a tight spiral so windy conditions might affect him, ball tipped at LOS for INC, easy throw for 15 yds on 4th and 5 hitting in stride WR over the middle, terrible throw on back shoulder right to CB that changed the game as the 1 yd TD would have brought them back down only 7 (8:42 3rd), dropped 7 yd slant, good job throwing ball at WR feet when wrapped up by DE avoiding sack, tried to thread the needle on1 5 yd slant with safety nearly picking it off, off on timing of 15 yd out with throw slightly ahead of him, good 15 yd throw in traffic to WR over the middle, threading needle again throwing purposely high to WR as CB was right there but gave his WR a chance-and nearly got him killed as safety hit him while in air, missed 25 yd post for TD but window was very small-it was there but tough, great toughness and tenacity down 21 pts with 6 min left and staying in pocket to take hit while throwing for completion 6:08 4th), poor INT in garbage time with LB leaping in air to get pass across the middle-returned for TD (2:50 4th). It was statistically by far his worst game of the year as he had only 3 ints in the first 12 games and 2 ints in this one yet I still was very impressed with him. They took away the deep ball and his WRs dropped at least 6 balls by my count yet he moved the ball regularly down the field and the 2nd int was in garbage time when he was pressing. He has a quick release, is accurate, is very knowledgeable of how to attack defenses, is quick going through his reads, is experienced, has a little mobility, and is tough. He only has average arm strength, isn’t extremely mobile, and isn’t that tall but his positives outweigh his negatives dramatically and I have him ranked as a late 1st rounder ahead of Landry Jones 12/15/11. In the 2011 Penn St. game he had a great play scrambling out of collapsed pocket and throwing on the run to wide open WR for +30 yds (14:24 1st), perfect 40 yd 9 route TD in stride to WR showing good arm strength, timing, and accuracy (13:15 1st), great 22 yd seam route in stride, miscom with WR for inc-threw fade/ran out, very close to INT threading needle but made it through to W who dropped it, just overthrew 20 yd out off jumping WR’s fingertips, easy 8 yd hitch, overthrew 15 yd slant that was open, easy 20 yd throw vs. zone-a lot of people probably will say it’s a dink and dunk O but he’s throwing mid range passes far more often than a Landry Jones is, easy 8 yd TD on out, good play scrambling away from pressure and throwing accurately for 8 yd out-good zip (1:30 1st), inaccurate throw on 10 yd slant with defender about to hit him up the middle, good velocity and timing-a bit behind WR on 12 yd out but threw before he broke, solid 8 yd run on 3rd and 2, accurate bullet for 15 yd in on 3rd and 7 after a few punts-big throw (5:15 2nd), great job stepping up in pocket and throwing on run accurately (a little high) to open 15 yd out-dropped, perfectly thrown 76 yd TD to wide open WR stepping up in pocket and throwing the ball 40 yds in the air-just a flick of his wrist showing he has a legit NFL arm (1:50 2nd), in stride slant allowing 15 YAC, he has great big hands catching snaps easily even one that he wasn’t ready for easily reacting to it, quick release on slant in stride for 15 yd catch and run-so hard to blitz him due to his quick release and speedy decision making, great 15 yd throw over middle vs. tight cov, great throw threading needle but WR dropped it (15:00 4th), underthrew 9 route for jump ball just out of bounds for INC-bad decision, got 7 yds on run showing strength getting hit but still going forward for final 2 yds, perfect 17 yd out in stride to WR, overthrew open seam route for INC, overthrew open shallow cross forcing punt. The more I watch Keenum the more I love him as he has great hands, a quick release, is accurate, has a strong arm, understands defenses, has tons of experience at the position and throwing the ball, and has elite productivity. He isn’t the greatest athlete in the world but he shows great pocket presence and an alertness to get out of the pocket when it’s breaking down (arguably the best pocket presence of any QB in this draft). I know I’m going out on a major limb as Rob Rang has him as the 11th QB (216th Overall) and Todd McShay also has him as the 11th QB but I’m moving this guy into the middle of the 1st round as he is my #3 QB behind only Luck and Griffen (Barkley would be higher but returning to school). Mid 1st 1/3/12.

Tape: 2011: Southern Miss, Penn St.

Overall: Keenum is set to be the biggest “discrepancy” player in the 2012 draft as most have a 5th-7th round grade on him yet I’m giving him a 2nd round grade as my #5 QB. I think the core of the difference in opinions is due to two factors: arm strength and the label of him as a system QB. The first I think is easily proven to be false as he doesn’t have the strongest arm but is at worst in the middle of the pack in terms of arm strength. He showed that at the Combine where he looked to have a much stronger arm than Kellen Moore or Aaron Corp and a similar arm to Russell Wilson and Nick Foles. Yet it was proven even more emphatically in his games when he threw posts or go routes to Patrick Edwards as it was a common occurrence in their vertical attack and often times I saw him throw 40-60 yd bombs. A great example is a throw I charted this season that was 58 yds in the air and looked like a simple flick of the wrist. I think his arm strength is at least average and likely to get much better as he’s only 208 lbs and when he eventually develops into a 220 lb QB his arm strength should improve making it a non-issue for me. The second issue is that he’s been labeled a system QB and this has unfairly given him a stigma he doesn’t deserve. I’ll be the first to say that the system they run definitely inflates his numbers and makes him look better than he probably is yet calling him a “system” QB is unfair as it insinuates the Texas Tech/Hawaii noodle armed QBs who threw nothing but short passes. Keenum is in a system that accentuates the vertical passing game and he throws the ball downfield far more often than most college QBs. This is important to note b/c just last year I was down on Blaine Gabbert as 80% of his throws were within 7 yds of the LOS. That isn’t the case at all with Keenum and allows you to move Keenum out of the Chase Daniels/Blaine Gabbert types and put him in the vertical spread systems that Sam Bradford and Robert Griffen have come out of. Griffen is a good example of the double standard facing Keenum as they run the same offense (Houston began the offense under Art Briles and continued it after he left for Baylor) with similar principles. It’s a more nuanced offense than the Tech short passing scheme that essentially has 3 or 4 option routes which isn’t structured but is a read and react style. Houston’s is a downfield scheme with audibles and a structured approach more similar to a Mike Martz scheme than what most call a “system” scheme like at Tech or Hawaii. Also I don’t see how RGIII is now being discussed as the best player in the draft yet Keenum is bordering on undrafted free agent status despite the fact they run the same system and make similar throws. I’m not arguing Keenum is on RGIII’s level but no one is even mentioning what system Griffen is coming from yet can’t stop mentioning it with Keenum. I went back through my notes and found big games vs. Tech, Oklahoma St., UCLA, Southern Miss, and Penn St. yet all I hear is how Keenum played a weak schedule. Keenum played quality opponents, the system he’s in isn’t gimmicky, and his arm strength isn’t poor. Once you clear those misconceptions up you get a smart, accurate, experienced QB with underrated athleticism who put up elite numbers yet lacks a great arm and has poor height (6’0 1/2). I am docking him for his poor height so he drops to the 2nd round (had a mid 1st grade on him before he measured in) yet even at that lowered grade he’s still the biggest discrepancy” guy in this draft and he will be of utmost interest to me so I can see if I graded him wrong or NFL GMs did. 2nd rounder who is eerily similar to Marc Bulger and my # QB 3/23/12.

7. Ryan Lindley San Diego St. #14 6’3 ¾ 229 Sr.

Comparison: Poor man’s Carson Palmer

Background: Redshirted in ’07. Started 11 games in ’08 earning offensive MVP. Co-offensive MVP in ’09. 2nd team MWC in ’10 going 13/13 and again shared offensive MVP with DeMarco Sampson.

Stats: Mountain West

Year

Yards

%

TD

INT

Sack

YPA

Rating

2011

3153

53.0

23

8

11

7.05

125.7

2010

3830

57.7

28

14

9

9.10

149.4

2009

3054

54.7

23

16

15

6.99

123.4

2008

2653

56.7

16

9

13

6.21

117.0

Combine: Solid throw on outside shoulder route drill. Underthrew WR forcing him to slow down on outside shoulder route drill. Perfect throw on outside shoulder route drill. A bit behind WR on quick out drill. Overthrew WR on quick out drill. Terrible throw on quick out drill. Solid on curl route. Very good on post corner route drill. Perfect throw in stride to WR on post corner route drill both times.

HGT

WGT

Arms

Hands

40

Reps

Vert

Broad

Shuttle

3 Cone

1 yr %

6036

229

32.63

10

4.90

 

29.5

900

4.45

7.52

63.8

 

 

 

Notes: Had a very good game against Navy in the ’10 Poinsettia Bowl (276 78% 2/0) and looked very much like a legit NFL QB prospect as he had a very good arm, nice size, good mechanics, and threw a very catchable ball that was on target throughout the game. Did appear to constantly lock onto his receiver against Navy which will need to change at the next level and it doesn’t appear he makes too many reads in his offense so even though they are a “pro style” offense he will need time to adjust to the much better Ds and more complex Os in the NFL. Craig James said he reminded him of Ben Roethlisberger when watching him throw the ball in warmups. Former baseball player who also has okay scrambling ability. Made one of the nicest play action fakes I’ve ever seen by a college QB, completely hiding the ball behind his back and calmly standing for a full second to fool the defense before throwing for an easy TD. Enters the 2011 season ranked #22 on my Big Board. Scouting report has it that he struggles a lot if pressured and forced to move around. Horrible flesh colored mustache. Led team to 5 come from behind wins this year. In the 2011 Louisiana-Lafayette game he had a nice dart on 16 yd in, strong arm on 20 yd toss over the middle, a bit high forcing WR to jump, with missed tackle getting 27 YAC on 47 yd pass-NFL arm strength for sure (10:55 1st), behind WR a bit on 10 yd slant forcing FG in red zone-small window but makeable, solid 7 yd sit down in zone with 5 YAC, nice NFL throw on rollout with velocity and accuracy for 12 yd curl to TE on sidelines (6:01 1st), threw too high to TE on 8 yd out for INC, miscom with WR throwing corner instead of post-QB was right on read, missed on covered short dump off-maybe throw away, a little behind WR on 9 route but throwing between CB and safety and not a bad 20 yd throw that was dropped, nice 15 yd out with good zip-stronger arm than Landry Jones or Case Keenum, good step up in pocket to find 3rd or 4th read in zone for 15 yds (1:15 2nd), ball over the middle tipped by MLB for INC, nice 15 yd throw on rollout at front pylon for TD (12:54 3rd), threw too high on 20 yd post forcing punt, open 10 yd curl, strong arm but underthrew post due to too much air forcing jump ball that was PI, underthrew another deep route putting way too much air under it again for INC, solid 8 yd cross to TE on 3rd and 7 with good accuracy as defender was close, elite throw avoiding rusher at his feet then throwing a perfect 20 yd fade in great coverage for catch-Brady couldn’t do it any better (4:44 3rd), great corner throw to back pylon for 16 yd TD in stride with timing and velocity-NFL throw (3:45 3rd), barely missed WR on post route +25 yds downfield-would be TD (12:20 4th), threw a bit too high but otherwise right on target to TE over the middle being covered very tightly by LB getting PI call, good throw in tight coverage for pbu but was right where it needed to be for WR to have a chance-possibly why his comp% was so poor as he often was threading the needle tonight, nearly pick 6 by CB  on great jump vs. 8 yd curl, good 15 yd in that was dropped by WR, delay of game turning it into 3rd and 15 late in game, great velocity on 14 yd curl letting it rip-it was a bit high, still very catchable, but he tends to error high somewhat regularly, poor throw on quick slant on 4th and 1 bulleting pass into tight coverage for INC but PI called, solid 8 yd cross to TE threading needle again but a bit away from him forcing extended one hand catch (1:22 4th), 15 yd scramble from pressure showing solid speed, missed open WR across the field, great 14 yd TD on slant in tight window leading team from behind to take lead with 40 seconds though they do end up losing (0:40 4th). His numbers really took a big hit this year and the early 2nd round grade appears way too high as he was leaning heavily on his talented set of skill players (Brown, Hillman, Escobar, Sampson) but his arm strength is good and he seems to understand where to go with the football showing good timing and an ability to diagnose defenses. I was impressed with him in their bowl game as he had quite a few NFL throws and showed solid accuracy to me. Is kind of a poor man’s Jake Locker when I watch him though he is far inferior as a runner and in the intangibles department and probably superior at reading coverages and understanding the game. He drops from his preseason grade but I still have him higher than most scouts as I see real talent in him. 4th round 12/20/11. Senior Bowl: Day 2: Very strong arm on TE cross for 15 yds in drill. Well behind open WR on inside route on 1×1 drill. Day 3: 11×11: A little off target on wide open 9 route but still threw a catchable ball-just a tad outside for INC, fumbled snap with Blake, threw ball to no one on naked bootleg for INC, horrible throw well over head of open RB in flat, threw 9 route that was covered OOB-not a throw away. In the 2011 Senior Bowl Game: Got 2nd opportunity after Weeden and ahead of Foles, bullet to open WR on 10 yd curl giving YAC to WR, looked slow on play action having to throw it away due to pressure but a lot of QBs (not just scramble types) probably could have been faster and turned corner (12:56 2nd), a bit off target but still very catchable on 10 yd out to open WR on 3rd to convert, a bit low on 6 yd out to TE but still made play-pattern of catchable but not perfect balls, a bit off again on slant this time causing diving catch attempt for INC, strong bullet on 8 yd curl that had YAC also, overthrew open 10 yd fade for TD causing INC, ball pbu by LB on another pass attempt in red zone forcing FG-didn’t look great at threading the needle, ball tipped at LOS ruining screen play, threw ball a bit behind RB in flat causing INC-RB could have caught it but was a bruiser and shouldn’t be a throw you miss, behind a bit to WR on 8 yd curl but completed, well off target on curl with WR, LB nearly INT as he threw to post that wasn’t open-got lucky, risky back shoulder throw that he got away with for +20 yd comp if Fuller hadn’t dropped it (0:22 2nd), strong armed throw on 17 yd out to TE with it a tad high but still very catchable but dropped-threw ball as he was breaking, good job on 4th and 12 with 1 minute left to avoid rush and roll to his left to find WR open for 26 yds down sideline, good job avoiding rush again this time for 4 yd out, very poor throw right to MLB for INT that ended game (0:32 4th). He throws the same ball 90% of the time with it being a little ahead, behind, high, or low forcing a receiver to adjust but it usually being catchable and somewhat on target. That lack of great accuracy concerns me but he showed in my opinion the strongest arm of any QB at the game this year and looked like a man among boys compared to Moore and Wilson and less raw footwork and mechanics wise than Foles. Out of the 6 QBs he was near the top at #3 but far behind Weeden who outclassed everyone (Weeden, Wilson).

Tape: 2011:LouisianaLafayette, Senior Bowl Practices and Game 2010: Navy

Overall: Ryan is a small school guy with a big arm and an NFL frame (6’3 ¾) that makes scouts covet him. I saw a lot of potential in him last year when he had two NFL caliber receivers to throw to and gave him a late 1st round grade. Yet they were drafted last year and his numbers took a dip (especially his completion %) making me realize I was a little too far ahead of the curve on him as he’s still raw, isn’t a great athlete, and his accuracy is average. The promising thing though about his senior year was that his TD/INT ratio dramatically improved from 2 to 1 to 2.9 to 1 despite having fewer playmakers around him forcing him thread the needle more yet do it in a way that avoided the interception. That excites me as a guy with his arm strength could really fit it into tight windows and the more he works on that skill the better he’ll get. My two issues with him are that he’s a little slow and cumbersome as an athlete and he lacks great accuracy. The first is an issue that can’t really be fixed and isn’t horrible as the majority of QBs are pocket passers in today’s NFL and while the trend is leaning toward guys like Tebow, Newton, RGIII, etc. it’s not yet a necessity. The second though could be his downfall as he shows a pattern of being close in his accuracy but always a little behind or low or high or somewhere not in stride which forces tough catches and ruins YAC for his receivers. I think accuracy is the most important attribute of a QB once they get to a certain height and arm strength so it does worry me. Ryan though showed elite arm strength, good height, looked like he belonged at the Senior Bowl, and improved the past 3 years to make him deserving of an early round grade once the polished top QBs are taken off the board. A project with starting potential who might not need very long to develop, early 3rd round as my #7 QB 3/26/12.

8. GJ Kinne Tulsa #4 6’1 1/8 223 Sr. 

Comparison: JP Losman

Stats:

Year

Yards

%

TD

INT

Sack

YPA

Rating

2011

3090

63.3

28

12

14

7.92

147.4

2010

3650

59.8

31

10

28

7.94

144.3

2009

2732

60.9

22

10

44

7.92

142.6

RS

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Pro Day: 3/13/12

HGT

WGT

Arms

Hands

40

Reps

Vert

Broad

Shuttle

3 Cone

1 yr %

6011

223

 

 

4.59

 

33

907

4.39

6.78

 

 

 

 

Notes: Was a recruit of UT but x-fer when he realized Colt McCoy wasn’t going anywhere. Threw it 60 yards in the air on the 2nd play of the ’10 Hawaii Bowl showing he has all the arm strength you can ask for. Is extremely inaccurate on deep balls as quite a few were +10 yards away from the target, often out of bounds, and didn’t seem to be due to the wind or any other factor. Late in the 3rd Q had a 47 yard perfectly thrown ball showing his potential but previously had at least 4 balls +30 that weren’t even close so he is very inconsistent. Has a very NFL look to him with solid height, a strong arm, and very good mobility. In the 2011 BYU game he had good throw in stride on shallow cross allowing YAC, good zip in stride 14 yd slant, good throw as he was being sacked for 6 yd dump off, elite 8 yd TD getting flushed from pocket, juking rusher to buy more time then throwing a bullet in traffic in middle of zone (10:00 1st), missed on dump off in flat, overthrew 9 route that wasn’t open, poor throw on dump off when pressured, inaccurate bullet on slant, good 7 yd run getting YAC with a nice spin move (9:55 2nd), underthrew 49 yd 9 route completed due to winning jump ball, great 9 yd TD quick pass to open TE bulleting it in after his play action-NFL throw (8:50 2nd), threw a bullet in flat for INC that was on target but not needed-3rd time that has happened where he threw a bullet for no reason, needs to learn some touch, NFL throw bulleting a post into traffic hitting WR in hands but dropped (12:50 4th), good jump ball thrown on 31 yd TD (10:45 4th),      He looks like the classic 3rd string project NFL teams love as he has size, speed, and arm strength yet will be taken late in the draft because he still hasn’t put it all together yet. I can say though that he has come a long way since 1 year ago when I scouted him so he is progressing. 5th round 1/4/12. In the 2011 NFLPA Game he impressed me with his arm strength and accuracy. Had a great throw over the middle 20 yds through traffic going back shoulder on seam route (6:15 2nd), great 20 yd TD run juking 2 defenders in the open field and taking the hit at the goal line to get in the end zone (3:14 2nd), did very well in his 2 minute drill completing his first 2 passes for +30 yds to get the drive marching, fumbled snap then overthrew check down when pressured then RB screen only got a few yards so drive ended with punt. Won MVP in the game going 6/9 for 79 yards and a rushing TD. He measured shorter than I wanted but otherwise is proving to me that he is a very underrated player and might be worth as high as a 3rd round pick 2/15/12.

Tape: 2011: BYU, NFLPA

Overall: When I scouted Kinne in 2010 I saw a raw kid with elite arm strength and very good mobility who reminded me a little of a poor man’s Jay Cutler. This year I was shocked to see how much he had improved as he was much more accurate, had better control of the offense, and continued to throw bullets all over the field. He still needs to learn how to incorporate some touch passes into his game as too often he throws lasers on every throw even on check downs or WR screens that don’t need them. His height also worries me as he’s barely 6’1 yet he has elite arm strength, top level mobility (4.59 40 even on a fast surface is at worst a 4.7), and really seems to be heading in the right direction. I know most scouts have a late round grade on the kid but I see starting potential in him and therefore have him as a late 3rd rounder who will need to sit a year or two but could very well develop into a quality starter. Late 3rd as my #8 QB 3/15/12.

9. Russell Wilson Wisconsin 5’10 5/8 204 Sr.

Comparison: Doug Flutie

Stats: Big 10 in 2011, ACC in ’08-‘10

Year

Yards

%

TD

INT

Sack

YPA

Rating

2011

3175

72.8

33

4

22

10.28

191.8

2010

3563

58.4

28

14

39

6.76

127.5

2009

3027

59.3

31

11

30

8.01

147.8

2008

1955

54.5

17

1

25

7.11

133.9

Combine: Good throw right over WR’s shoulder but dropped on outside shoulder route drill. Solid throw on outside shoulder route drill. Solid on outside shoulder route drill. Solid on quick out drill. Solid on quick out drill-has had a very underrated day so far at the combine with him and Witt probably being best in their group. Overthrew WR on post corner route drill then hit in stride next time. Overthrew WR on post corner route drill but solid on next guy.

HGT

WGT

Arms

Hands

40

Reps

Vert

Broad

Shuttle

3 Cone

1 yr %

5105

204

31

10.25

4.55

 

34

910

4.09

6.97

77.7

 

 

 

Notes: After only his Jr. year he already is sitting high in the NC State record books: 2nd in school history for rushing yards by QB (1,042), 2nd in TDs to Philip Rivers (91), and threw for +300 yards 8x in ’10. His Jr. season was very impressive (3288 58% 26/14) yet the completion % and TD/INT ratio actually went down which is a poor sign for a dual threat QB that needs to look extra sharp for the NFL to overlook his small stature (5’11). As of 12/10/10 I have only seen a few of his games yet every time he appears very accurate and a legit QB prospect. Better major league baseball prospect than NFL prospect and word is that he has already decided to be go the baseball route first. NCAA record of 382 passes without an interception. In the 2011 UNLV game he looked in sync and ready to have a huge year with two pin point passes including an easy 5 yd out for a TD (11:50 1st), slightly overthrew wide open TE for a TD on post (9:00 1st), threw too high to his TE again for what would have been a TD (8:20 1st), 46 yd TD run on just a broken play where he made multiple people miss and showed elite speed for a QB (1:16 2nd), and a perfect throw to wide open TE for short TD (10:30 3rd). In the 2011 Oregon St. game had a nice touch pass on 3rd and 12 for a 16 yd TD reading the D perfectly and throwing it right on the money before the safety could get there in the zone (8:40 1st), great fade throw to Toon for a TD throwing it perfectly (7:47 2nd), accurate throw on the run but ball fluttered a bit and didn’t have elite zip by any stretch on 16 yd throw (14:11 3rd). In the 2011 Nebraska game made DT Jared Crick miss on straight rush as he wasn’t picked up buying time to throw the ball (13:42 1st), perfect 18 yd throw to open WR in stride on rollout right, impressive touch pass just off the tips of TE but dropped in between 3 defenders, great scramble avoiding diving DE then making LB look silly in space on a juke turning on the jets for 21 yds, poor decision to throw in double coverage that worked out on lucky play for +20 yds (12:33 2nd), very fast on 22 yd scramble showing speed against a D that has some NFL prospects themselves-brought back holding (10:58 2nd), great scramble running literally in a circle to get away from pressure then coming back to weave through the line to dump it off to TE for 5 yds (4:40 2nd), great fake toss then a bit overthrown 33 yd TD to Abredaris forcing him to dive for it (2:10 2nd), perfect 46 yd TD to Toon on 9 route (0:30 2nd), great speed on naked bootleg left beating CB to the sideline to turn the corner for the 10 yd TD (11:20 3rd), overthrew open Toon on out and up that was 3 yds past defender, missed 10 yd open curl throwing it a bit too low, 16 yd run on 3rd and 6 outrunning a DE who had the angle (5:12 3rd). In the 2011 Oregon game (Rose Bowl) he had solid 3 yd slant, 10 yd dump off on 3rd and 5, slightly underthrew wide open 39 yd TD on rollout showing a solid arm-isn’t elite but arm strength won’t be an issue in the pros (11:53 1st), good mobility maneuvering in pocket for extra time on INC-hit hard after he threw but bounced right back up, great adlib play rolling out and threatening scramble forcing LB up tossing ball over his head to RB for +25 yds (7:10 1st), good 5 yd TD run on play action with no one open-had to juke defender in space to get the TD, overthrew 9 route vs. tight cov, 5yd slant, good high throw to somewhat covered TE, wide open dump off for +20 yds, good mobility getting 3 yds on rollout with no one open, accurate 12 yd out to open WR despite pressure all around him-threw a softball though, 5 yd slant throwing it well low and away, good mobility spinning away from pressure but overthrew post for TD-tough throw but makeable, good avoidance of pass rusher off edge showing good quickness and jukes but poor speed trying to get corner for 1st on 4th and 1 being well short, nice stiff arm of LB in space on 3 yd scramble, nice 18 yd scramble, good 18 yd out for TD-solid strength and good accuracy and timing (4:50 3rd), 4 yd hitch, great job finding dump off WR late in reads with pressure around him on 3rd and 6, good 30 yd out to wide open WR, 20 yd sideline route then 30 yd 9 route both vs. prevent in final 16 seconds of game but time ran out. He again showed good mobility, good accuracy, a great ability to read defenses, and a solid arm. He has a solid arm but his lack of a fastball was more evident in this game than in others and again it’s hard to grade him without mentioning his poor height and the fact he played this year behind the 2nd best OL in the country (Stanford was 1st) and his receiving options almost never had double coverage. I like him a lot and if he chooses football over baseball he’s a 5th rounder 1/11/12. Senior Bowl: Day 1: Measured 5’10 5/8 being shorter than I even though (expected 5’11-6’0). Day 2: 11×11: Good throw to WR vs. tight cov on 8 yd curl. Day 3: Very nice throw vs. tight cov on wheel route to RB, fumbled snap with C Joe Looney. 7×7: Average throw on 15 yd out nearly too low for LB to tip it and forcing tough catch by WR, underthrew 9 route that was a bit open causing jump ball pbu. 11×11: Good scramble from pressure and threaded needle 15 yds downfield in traffic-what he does best-throw on the run. In the 2011 Senior Bowl Game: Got start in game, good mobility on naked bootleg getting outside to set up easy short out for YAC with TE, good 10 yd run when no one open-solid speed, overthrew open WR on post corner route for TD forcing FG, too high on slant for INC, very bad decision throwing over the middle into double cov for INT by CF (3:30 1st), great play taking low snap, making DE miss doing the Romo spin out of pocket and throwing a great ball 25 yds downfield to semi covered WR for big play (2:17 1st), taken down easily in space by LB Nigel Bradham showing he can move but isn’t an elite scrambler, good bullet to contested WR for 8 yd TD (14:58 2nd), took cov sack spending way too long in pocket. He has good speed, a good arm, is outstanding out of the pocket and on the run, is a leader, and is experienced. If he was 3 inches taller he’d be a 1st round pick and unlike Kellen Moore, I actually think he has a chance to be a starter in the NFL. Out of the 6 QBs he was near the top at #2 yet well behind Weeden at #1 (Weeden).

Tape: 2011: UNLV,Oregon St.,Illinois,Oregon (Rose Bowl), Senior Bowl Practices and Game

Overall: Russell Wilson is right up there with Kellen Moore as one of the more difficult evaluations of this draft. Yet unlike Moore I’m buying into Wilson as a future backup QB who a team could actually groom as a possible starter down the road because unlike Moore Wilson only has one problem: height. If Wilson was 6’2 he’d be a 1st rounder and NFL teams would have a legit debate of whether RGIII or Russell Wilson is the superior player. They both have good arm strength though Griffin’s is stronger. They both have great speed for a QB (4.41 vs. 4.55) with Griffin being faster but Wilson being quicker and more elusive. They both put up absurd numbers last year as they had great completion percentages (72.4% vs. 72.8%), had great TD/INT ratios (37/6 vs. 33/4), and had record breaking QB ratings (189.5 vs. 191.8). Yet alas Wilson measured in around 5’11 and Griffin at 6’2 so now one will be the 2nd Overall Pick in the Draft and the other will be lucky to be drafted? Somehow it doesn’t make sense as I watched Wilson his entire career and he always made plays. A team will have to be creative in how they use him but he’s not like Kellen Moore in that he lacks height, arm strength, and athleticism but only lacks on thing. Doug Flutie, Michael Vick, and Drew Brees have all had good to great careers despite a lack of size as they made up for it with accuracy, athleticism, and/or moxy. Wilson has all three of those traits so I have no worries that at least he’ll be a very good backup in the Seneca Wallace mold and could possibly become a starter someday. 4th round as my #9 QB 3/26/12.

10. Kirk Cousins Michigan St. #8 6’2 5/8 214 Sr.

Comparison: Poor man’s Chad Henne

Stats: Big Ten

Year

Yards

%

TD

INT

Sack

YPA

Rating

2011

3316

63.7

25

10

15

7.91

145.1

2010

2825

66.9

20

10

20

8.36

150.7

2009

2680

60.4

19

9

12

8.17

142.6

2008

310

74.4

2

1

2

7.21

145.7

Combine: Hit WRs in stride and with velocity on quick slant drill-best in group. Good throw on dig route drill-clearly superior arm strength vs. Corp and Davis who go before and after him. Solid on speed out drill.

HGT

WGT

Arms

Hands

40

Reps

Vert

Broad

Shuttle

3 Cone

1 yr %

6025

214

31.75

9.88

4.93

 

28.5

901

4.5

7.05

54.6

 

 

 

Notes: Had a great Jr. year in ’10 (2,705 67% 20/9) and played the second half of the year with a serious ankle injury. Has an NFL arm, release, and size as he looks the part for sure. In the 2011 Michigan game he started by throwing a WR screen 3 ft above his head (8:43 1st), had a perfectly thrown 43 yd 9 route that dropped off WR’s hands for a sure TD (8:05 1st), perfect 7 yd out converting 3rd and 7, good 13 yd in dropped by WR right in hands, pressured and overthrew wide open dump off pass that would have been a big gainer forcing punt (9:20 2nd), delay of game, showed good awareness on broken play on 3rd and 1 diving for first but came up just short, good 15 yd out vs. tight coverage showing a strong arm, good accuracy, and great timing but ball dropped (12:40 3rd), didn’t check team out of unsuccessful run plays numerous times when Michigan had 3 DTs in their “bear” formation, good job finding open WR on 3rd and 8 with pressure in his face, perfect throw for 5 yd hitch on 3rd and 4, threw behind TE on 3rd and 4 forcing punt when they needed to burn clock (5:00 4th). Cousin had a solid game throwing the ball accurately, quickly, and with good arm strength. I don’t like his lack of involvement in audibles or the fact that his coaches prefer to run the ball than put it in his hands. He looks like he has the makings of a middle of the pack QB at best or a quality backup at worst. 2nd to 3rd round after 1st deep scouting 10/21/11. Watched him in the 2011 Iowa game and was less impressed with him with my impression being that he will most likely be a career backup as his accuracy and arm strength are just average and he gets no bump with impressive athleticism, elite collegiate production, or intangibles. Seems more and more to me like a very good backup who has a chance to develop into a top 25 starter making him more of a 4th round type 11/18/11. In the 2011 Georgia game he had solid throw on 15 yd route between CB and S zones-NFL throw but forced extended hands catch so not perfect (6:10 1st), good 12 yd out off backfoot while getting hit, good 4 yd slant but pbu b/c no separation, tried back shoulder throw but a little too far behind for INC, good throw on seam route but again pbu this time b/c S made good burst on ball, nearly pick 6 by LB on middle throw vs. zone, nearly INT on 12 yd curl-two defenders in the area, good 10 yd scramble moving in pocket and pump faking to freeze LB, poor throw on seam route missing bad and nearly INT, good 12 yd out on 3rd and 10-timing and accuracy, 15 yd seam-to be fair his WRs and TE look painfully slow compared to Georgia’s secondary, threw OOB on 8 yd out-miscom, easy 2 pt conversion on cov mess up, 23 yd post vs. tight cov-did force a diving catch though, poor throw on post with pressure in his face for INC and punt, good 15 yd catch and run vs. tight cov on 3rd and 8, perfect throw on 9 route vs. tight cov but off hands of WR (12:20 4th), threw bad INT on out that was easily picked and taken back +40 yds (11:22 4th), great bullet on post for 9 yd TD vs. tight cov (8:25 4th), had INT but not really his fault as LB Alec Ogletree jumped and tipped a ball no other LB in the nation would get to-still though it basically ended the game for the Spartans (3:58 4th), great +20 yd throw against tight cov having to touch pass it over defender-NFL throw (1:15 4th),  20 yd scramble late in game (0:50 4th), overthrew fade for INC, missed open WR for 1 yd out which would have been tying TD, threw game ending INT on post-solid throw but S Rambo came out of nowhere to make play (1st OT). They didn’t even get a 1st down until late in the 2nd Q as they were dominated throughout by a fast, strong SEC D. He again showed average athleticism, average arm strength, and average accuracy. I continue to think he is nothing but a future backup QB. 4th round 1/19/12. Showed his leadership taking charge in the meetings right from the get go at the Senior Bowl. Double caught snap but threw strong short hitch. 11×11: Good throw on slant but WR drop, good throw in traffic to TE in middle of field. Day 2: 11×11: Surprising speed on scramble with no one open, bad throw on 15 yd out to TE getting INT by S. Day 3: 7×7: Very strong and accurate throw to open WR on seam route. 11×11: Very strong throw on RB on short out-definitely the strongest arm of the North QBs, great job stepping up in pocket and dropping touch pass over middle to WR a bit past LB. In the 2011 Senior Bowl Game: 3rd to play at QB, dumped off for INC despite an open WR 10 yds downfield, good throw in stride for 20 yds on post plus YAC, poor naked bootleg unable to maneuver around DE to get dump off to RB causing batted ball, terribly thrown fade right to CB for INT on 3rd and long in red zone (0:33 2nd), solid 8 yd hitch but dropped, ball batted at LOS on slant, perfect throw for 20 yds to WR+YAC as he threw it as he broke surprising receiver when it was there so quickly, terrible throw having WR open on double move and throwing it well OOB? Simple 3 yd shallow cross turned into a 40 yd TD on YAC, good short out in stride to TE, fumbled snap late in game up 10 in clock killing mode for nearly a horrible TO but recovered it. He continues to impress me with his solid arm, great leadership skills, and experience yet this event actually cemented my opinion that he will be nothing more than a good backup or below average starter. Out of the 6 QBs he was in the middle at #4 (Weeden, Wilson, Lindley).

Tape: 2011:Michigan,Iowa, Georgia, Senior Bowl Practices and Game

Overall: Cousins is a guy who I really like as a person as he’s a leader, tough, and seems like a good guy but I have to admit he’s one of the most overrated players in this draft as he’s the #3 QB on some scouts boards and at worst is #5 on most. I don’t have him anywhere near there b/c I continue to see below average starter or above average backup QB when I see him. I think part of the reason he’s getting so much love is that most of the top guys ahead of him (Luck, Griffen, Tannehill, even Osweiler) didn’t play at the Senior Bowl or throw at the Combine. His competition on the North squad at the Senior Bowl was Russell Wilson and Kellen Moore so inevitably reports stated he looked tall and strong armed. Compared to those two he was but at 6’2 he’s only of average height and his arm is hardly a howitzer. I do like his accuracy and I love his experience, leadership, and work ethic but his numbers were hardly spectacular considering he had two NFL caliber WRs to throw to and he just doesn’t seem to be that good in terms of threading the needle, making the clutch play, or playing well against top athletes. This season he played quite a few poor defenses which boosted his numbers a lot but against the top 4 defenses he faced (Ohio St., Michigan, Nebraska, and Georgia) he put up terrible numbers. He had 4 TDs 6 INTs and completed less than 60% of his passes in 3 of the 4 games. The worst was against Nebraska where he had 0 TDs, 40% completion, and only passed for 86 yards in the embarrassing loss where he led his team to only a FG on offense. He seems to be good at taking advantage of open receivers and moving the ball when he’s the more talented team but against an even playing field or a superior opponent he struggles to hit the tight windows or thread the needle. Time and again I saw him make bad mistakes against top defenses as he threw bad INTs against Nebraska, Georgia, Ohio St., during the practices at the Senior Bowl, and then again in the Senior Bowl Game. Everyone has a love affair with Kirk Cousins right now but he has average height, above average arm strength, above average accuracy, can’t thread the needle, struggled against top defenses, had average numbers despite a good supporting cast, and is prone to the bad decision. It all adds up to a guy that most likely will struggle if pushed into a starting role and would be best served as a backup QB for an NFL team. Which is what I’ve been saying the past 4 months. 4th round as my #10 QB 3/14/12.

11. BJ Coleman Tennessee-Chattanooga #19 6’3 1/8 233 Sr. 

Combine:

HGT

WGT

Arms

Hands

40

Reps

Vert

Broad

Shuttle

3 Cone

1 yr %

6031

233

31.63

10.38

 

 

 

901

4.38

7.07

66.9

 

 

 

Notes: Redshirted at Tennessee in ’07. Played a bit in 1 game at Tennessee in ’08. Transferred from Tennessee in ‘09. 2nd team Southern Conference in ’10 with 56% 2,996 yds 26 TDs and 13 INTs. Has a gay crewcut look that screams the Corp. Patterns game after Peyton Manning and it shows on his play action work. Scouts say he has poor footwork or happy feet and affects his accuracy. In the 2011 East-West Shrine Game he was starter at QB, had an 0 route and short hitch on target, slant a bit behind WR but still completed, very impressive play fake-said to study Peyton Manning and it showed as it looked a lot like him-then threw a bullet in stride to WR on 15 yd cross-NFL throw (12:25 1st), good throw on seam route to TE who broke tackle and went 64 yds but basically gave his TE a 50-50 ball with S and just as easily could have been an INT (5:20 1st), 6 yd hitch with broken tackle turned into 18 yd TD, good 3 yd TD on slant in traffic (0:20 2nd), dropped tough diving catch on tipped ball but catchable, perfect touch 20 yd to RB on sideline but he was OOB for no reason as he had plenty of space-still an NFL throw (13:09 4th), good Manning like play fake and quick setup but overthrew 10 yd out by a mile-way too high OOB, terrible decision to throw into traffic on quick slant nearly getting INT by two defenders but just INC, good velocity, timing, and accuracy on 12 yd out to open WR, spectacular throw in traffic really threading the needle on seam route that was completely covered yet somehow he hit his TE in the hands-was dropped though (0:32 4th), well overthrew double move 9 route for INC, big time NFL throw tossing it before the WR broke so it was on him right as he turned-I keep seeing good accuracy, good technique, and great arm strength on this kid (0:20 4th), good velocity but a bit high on 10 yd curl top open WR-completed. He really impressed me in this game and just came out of nowhere to secure the #1 spot among the 6 QBs. I think the future is bright for the kid who just needs a little more time and better footwork to possibly develop into a legit starting QB. 5th round 1/27/12. Hurt his pinkie finger in workouts and unable to throw at Combine.

Tape: 2011: East-West Shrine Game

Overall: BJ Coleman is another Tennessee transfer with a lot of talent but unlike many of the others he elected to transfer instead of getting kicked out. At 6’3 233 lbs with a very strong arm he definitely fits the bill of an NFL QB and really impressed me at the East-West Shrine Game with his arm and mobility. He thread the needle really well in that game and, though not very accurate on the deep ball, has a good ability to attack a defense. His game is definitely rawer than GJ Kinne and he isn’t as mobile so I gave him a lower overall grade but due to his height you could argue that he has a slightly higher upside. Both players have starting potential due to their tool set but Coleman settles out as a 4th rounder b/c he will probably take a bit longer to develop. 4th round as my #11 QB 3/15/12.

12. Patrick Witt Yale #11 6’3 ½ 225 Sr. 

Comparison: Ryan Fitzpatrick

Stats: Ivy League final 3 but Big 12 (Nebraska) in ‘08

Year

Yards

%

TD

INT

Sack

YPA

Rating

2011

2368

62.0

17

14

17

7.4

 

2010

2216

60.4

12

12

17

6.3

 

2009

1449

57.3

8

11

17

6.0

 

2008

48

75.0

0

0

0

6.0

 

Combine: Began his career at Nebraska. Poor throw in double tap drill. Perfect throw in stride to WR on outside shoulder route drill. Perfect throw again on outside shoulder route drill. A bit high on throw on quick out drill. Too far on quick out drill. Solid on quick out drill. Major overthrow on quick out drill. Perfect throw on post corner route drill both times-Luck, Griffen, Tannehill, and Osweiler didn’t throw but he was the best throwing QB at the combine with Cousins the only one close. A bit late in throw forcing WR to slow down on post corner route drill. Very small hands tying with Ryan Tannehill for the smallest hands (‘9) among the 19 QBs at the Combine.

HGT

WGT

Arms

Hands

40

Vert

Broad

Shuttle

3 Cone

1 yr %

6034

225

31.38

9

 

 

31.5

805

4.37

71.4

Notes: Was a finalist for a Rhodes scholarship and had a similar situation like Myron Rolle ofFlorida St. in that his interview was set on the day of a football game. Unlike Rolle, Witt chose the game (vs. Harvard their rival) yet now word is that he was removed from candidacy 3 days before the game so there was no actual conflict? Is a history major who already graduated in the Fall to focus on the NFL Draft. Had a 3.91 GPA. Is interested in a future in politics. He is possibly at the center of a sexual harassment charge yet it is an unofficial one through the school and appears to have been resolved.

Tape: 2011: Combine, Youtube clips

Overall: Witt is another player that I never watched an actual game of yet I saw him at the Combine and watched YouTube clips of him and feel pretty good about him as a prospect. First off he’s smart as is obvious not just by him being at Yale but having a 3.91 GPA and being a Rhodes Scholar finalist. He has good size (6’3 ½ 225), solid arm strength, and great accuracy despite an abnormal hitch in his delivery. It doesn’t slow it down but is similar to Philip Rivers push delivery of the ball. He also impressed me with his athleticism and pocket awareness as he regularly had to move around or step up to make throws and seemed comfortable finding an outlet on the run. There were a surprising number of NFL caliber throws on his highlight reel as unfortunately it looked like his offensive line was rather poor so he regularly can be seen throwing on the run or just before he’s getting hit. He can thread the needle very well and doesn’t think twice about standing tall in the pocket to deliver the ball with full knowledge that he’s going to get hit. He doesn’t have the strongest arm though as above average would be the highest I would go and he will definitely a few years on the bench before a team can even determine if he will pan out due to the extreme difference in talent going from Yale to the NFL. He’s a difficult prospect to grade yet his performance at the Combine was neck and neck with Kirk Cousins for the best in the QB group and it really opened my eyes. Because of this as well as his background which should at worst allow him to be a studious and ready backup QB, I like him as a later round flier type. 5th round as my #12 QB 3/26/12.

13. Nick FolesArizona #8 6’5 243 Sr.

Comparison: Poor man’s Ryan Mallett

Stats: Pac-10

Year

Yards

%

TD

INT

Sack

YPA

Rating

2011

4334

69.1

28

14

23

7.74

145.6

2010

3191

67.1

20

10

23

7.49

140.9

2009

2486

63.6

19

9

11

6.08

125.6

2008

57

62.5

 

 

0

7.13

122.4

Combine: Michigan St. x-fer. Overthrew 9 route badly first two times on 9 route back shoulder drill. Solid throw on dig route drill. Underthrew forcing WR to slow down, hit in stride but dropped in 9 route drill. Underthrew forcing WR to slow down on corner route drill on back to back throws. Doesn’t have the big arm I thought he did-notice that at the Senior Bowl too. Lombardi called his throwing motion mechanical and not as smooth as Cousins or others.

HGT

WGT

Arms

Hands

40

Reps

Vert

Broad

Shuttle

3 Cone

1 yr %

6050

243

34.25

10.63

5.14

 

30.5

904

 

 

73.1

 

 

 

Notes: Sets up quickly, has very good mechanics and looks the part of an NFL pocket passing QB. Has decided to return to school in ’11. Arizona was 75% in the red zone, one of the worst marks in the country, which I think is often a reflection on a QB. Had a terrible bowl game in ’09 vs. Nebraska (48 30% 0/1). Had a terrible 1st half of the 1st Q in the ’10 Valero Bowl vs. Oklahoma St. as he was very inaccurate, had an okay fade TD pass to Criner showing touch but Criner made a great catch more than he made a great throw (5:43 1st), threw a bad pick 6 for 61 yards on a short route on the other side of the field (12:45 2nd), and threw a bad deep pass that was essentially a jump ball that resulted in an int (8:20 2nd). I like him as a QB prospect as he is tall, has a strong arm, and throws a very catchable ball but as of now I would rate him as a 3rd rounder as his accuracy is inconsistent, his mobility is below average, and his decision making is below average. To improve he will need to read defenses quicker and make better decisions 1/14/11. Enters the 2011 season ranked #41 on my Big Board. In the 2011 Oklahoma St. game had a bad overthrow to RB in the flat on 3rd down forcing punt (1:46 1st), got in a rhythm midway through the 2nd Q with +4 straight completions including this quick 10 yd out to an open WR (5:45 2nd), perfectly thrown 20 yd post to WR hitting him in stride (9:50 3rd), very nice 45 yd 9 route that was a tad underthrown but still very accurate and showed a good arm (0:30 3rd), stupid decision to run it on 4th and 10 barely getting 4 yards (13:40 4th), beautiful touch pass deep 9 route for a 54 yd TD (10:05 4th). In the 2011 UCLA game had a perfectly thrown jump ball for 22 yds giving WR Dan Buckner a chance to go up and get it (13:02 1st), threw 5 yd curl to Criner releasing right as he broke (0:11 1st), poor decision throwing back shoulder to wide side of field giving CB chance for pick but only was pbu, nice throw between CB and S on 4th down for big conversion (11:10 2nd), perfect throw in stride to wide open WR for 24 yd TD on 9 route showing great touch (3:22 2nd), nice job stepping up in pocket and throwing 15 yd strike to WR even as defender had grabbed his leg (13:02 3rd), misfired on open 12 yd out, bullet on 10 yd quick slant but a tad off forcing nice extended hands diving catch. Senior Bowl: Day 2: A little high to semi open WR on curl for INC, good throw on target to RB in stride on short out giving him YAC, threw behind RB on out for INC. In the 2011 Senior Bowl Game: 3rd QB in the game, solid 20 yd in to open WR who made YAC, looked weak armed throwing off back foot on 17 yd in vs. tight cov-bad throw, bad read, bad footwork which caused INC and punt (8:57 3rd), solid 7 yd hitch that turned into +30 after YAC, looked scared on naked bootleg throwing it awkwardly to TE before play developed causing TFL, okay 6 yd curl but was 3rd and 11 and took what the D wanted him to take, well behind WR who was open on short out on 4th down for TO-looked bad throwing on rollout, no one open aand instead of throwing it away he scrambled outside tackle right into sack creating 2nd and 20, good 18 yd curl in middle of field to former teammate Criner, 8 yd out to Criner on next play, everyone talks about Lindley being raw but Foles footwork is just as raw, 5 yd out to Criner 3 plays later, very low to open WR on 10 yd cross for INC-wide open, way behind open Adams on slant who with a good throw could have been a gain of +10 yds, good 20 yd post to open Criner for TD a few plays later-they were basically the whole drive (13:05 4th). At the Senior Bowl he was inconsistent as usual yet showed even worse footwork than I expected and a solid arm but arguably the weakest arm on the South roster (definitely weaker than Lindley’s). Out of the 6 QBs he was near the bottom at #5 (Weeden, Wilson, Lindley, Cousins).

Tape: 2011:Oklahoma St., UCLA, Senior Bowl Practices and Game 2010 Valero Bowl vs. Oklahoma St.

Overall: Foles was a guy I was intrigued with going into this year as he looked like a big, strong gun slinger who could thread the needle and just needed to refine a few things from his game. This season exposed him as an extremely raw player who doesn’t have as strong of an arm as many give him credit for and is a much worse athlete than anticipated. His slow 40 time and height/weight reminds me of Ryan Mallett as does his penchant for interceptions and his inconsistent accuracy. Yet while he has all of Mallett’s flaws, except maybe attitude, he lacks Mallett’s cannon of an arm, good footwork (Foles has arguably the worst footwork of any QB in this draft which continues to boggle my mind), and elite production. Going into this season I had him far ahead of Kirk Cousins and while I still think Foles has a better ability to thread the needle than Cousins, I think Kirk bests him in about every other area. Nick Foles has probably dropped more than any prospect this season as he came in as a 2nd rounder who could maybe move into the 1st with a good year and now will be lucky to be drafted in the first 4 rounds. I still like him as a mid round backup with possible starting potential down the line but that’s about it. 5th round as my #13 QB 3/26/12.

14. Jacory Harris Miami #12 6’3 203 Sr.

Comparison: Tee Martin

Stats: ACC

Year

Yards

%

TD

INT

Sack

YPA

Rating

2011

2486

65.0

20

9

17

8.29

150.6

2010

1793

54.8

14

15

10

6.64

116.6

2009

3352

59.6

24

17

34

8.26

140.1

2008

1195

60.8

12

7

11

6.16

125.8

Combine: Threw behind WR on quick slant drill. Very low throw on speed out drill. Solid on dig route drill. Overthrew then solid on speed out drill. Very good throw on corner route drill.

HGT

WGT

Arms

Hands

40

Reps

Vert

Broad

Shuttle

3 Cone

1 yr %

6030

203

32.13

9.75

4.72

 

37

905

4.4

7.1

68.5

 

 

 

Notes: I watched him against FSU in 2009 and he looked okay (386 2/2 61%) but against Miami he stunned me with his poise and accuracy (270 3/0 80%). He actually is the complete opposite of what I thought he was as he is a good but a bit overrated athlete who doesn’t really ever try to run (0 positive rushes in first 2 games), has below average arm strength, but is a very smart, decisive player. He has a great feel for the pocket, sidestepping the rush, and is always keeping his eyes down the field. He has great accuracy and good touch on the ball yet his poor arm strength worries me a lot. He is incredibly thin for a QB and could use another 30 lbs before entering the NFL but he is a sophomore and he is 6’4 so he should develop some of that over time. Hopefully when he gains weight he will improve his arm strength, if that occurs he will be a legitimate QB prospect. Suspended the first game of 2011, along with 7 other players, for accepting gifts from boosters. In the 2011 Boston College game he had a good throw on 60 yd 9 route with WR only slowing down a bit for it, open 8 yd hitch, 7 yd TD on dump off pass-all credit to WR, solid 30 yd post to WR but again was a little short and was almost INT as WR didn’t get separation, bad decision throwing into double coverage to TE for INC that could have been INT, lack of toughness sliding after 4 yds with first down very makeable-he’s black but he isn’t a scrambler at all, bad throw to sideline on curl with safety reading it for pick (8:30 3rd), too high on throw over the middle but WR made a nice catch on deflected ball, terrible INT not seeing LB Kuechly seeing short in route and taking it for pick 6 (14:55 4th), good 12 yd curl rolling right against very tight coverage (11:40 4th), down 10 pts midway through 4th he had to press and threw 9 route not open for INT (8:07 4th), 8 yd out, not on same page with WR throwing 15 yd out and not 9 route for INC, hit as he threw for duck that was INT (3:55 4th), missed open 9 route in garbage time for a TD that would have suddenly put them back in the game down only 3. He is the same Jacory as he has a good arm, solid height and weight, and at times will play like an NFL QB but then he throws his ints, makes poor reads, and shows his inconsistent accuracy. I still like him as a late round project type but the kid who I once thought could develop into a first round QB just never really changed. Ending his career with 4 ints in the 2nd half is fitting. 7th round 12/16/11.

Tape: 2011: Boston College 2010: Notre Dame 2009:Florida St.

Overall: Jacory is an interesting player in that he’s become a pretty solid player, improving a lot in his game, yet I still am wary of him because he looked so good 2 years ago as well. As a sophomore he had very solid numbers that were drastically better than his freshman numbers and he looked like an up and coming player who had a chance to be a 1st or 2nd rounder someday. In 2010 he took a huge step back with career lows in completion %, YPA, TD/INT ratio, and QB rating which caused me to basically write him off. Yet this year he rebounded in a big way with career HIGHS in almost all of his numbers and finally looked like he was putting it all together. Some scouts will see that as progress and put him up in the 3rd or 4th round area b/c of his athletic skills and others will be like me and continue to cast a wary eye on him as no one really knows why his 2010 season was so horrible and therefore are unsure if it will come back or not. Jacory is a tall (6’4), athletic (4.76 40), smart kid who seems to work hard and never gave off the impression that he was a bad kid. He was suspended for accepting gifts from a booster, along with 7 other players, but his suspension was small and again it appears like this is a one time incident and not a pattern of behavior. He’s gained weight the past few years and with it additional arm strength has come making me intrigued of what his overall game could look like as a 225 lb QB but I still am wary of him as he wasn’t incredibly productive at Miami, is inconsistent, and has a bad knack for throwing the untimely pick. 6th round as my #14 QB 3/15/12.

15. Kellen Moore Boise St. #11 6’0 197 Sr.

Comparison: Less mobile Colt McCoy

Stats: MWC

Year

Yards

%

TD

INT

Sack

YPA

Rating

2011

3800

74.3

43

9

7

8.66

175.2

2010

3845

71.3

35

6

6

10.04

182.6

2009

3536

64.3

39

3

5

8.20

161.7

2008

3486

69.4

25

10

13

8.61

157.1

Combine: Average throw on outside shoulder route drill. Notice that he has to throw ball earlier than anyone else in drill on outside shoulder route drill. Overthrew WR on outside shoulder route drill. Just his throwing motion looked so bad on quick out drill. Too high on quick out drill. Slightly overthrew WR on 9 route drill. Drastically overthrew WR on 9 route drill-hasn’t hit a deep pass all day it feels like. Solid on quick out drill. Very weak throw on curl route. Underthrew WR on post corner route drill. Good on post corner route drill first time a little behind WR the 2nd.

HGT

WGT

Arms

Hands

40

Reps

Vert

Broad

Shuttle

3 Cone

1 yr %

6000

197

30.25

9.5

4.94

 

27

803

4.56

7.41

32.3

 

 

 

Notes: 6-0 vs. BCS schools. Team finished in the top 11 all 4 of his years. In their two matchups he outplayed Andy Dalton both times. Is short and undersized but is tough as nails and had a great freshman year with 3,486 25/10 69%. Had a below average game vs. TCU in ’08 Poinsettia Bowl yet looks to have a good future. 4th in the Heisman race in ’10 who completed 71% of his pass attempts this fall, including 33 for scores against just 5 picks. Very accurate, system QB with a below average arm, poor height, and terrible weight. Hopefully he can gain 10-15 lbs during the ’11 offseason and see the added weight improve his arm strength as well. Currently I rate him as a 7th round career backup type 2/7/11. In the 2011 Georgia game was a bit behind receiver on 3rd and 11 for pbu and punt (12:00 1st), very accurate 12 yd throw to TE right at his hands, too high with pressure in his face but could have purposely thrown it high as it was in traffic, good 11 yd quick dart right as he was getting hit showing a quick release and ability to throw in traffic on the run (5:15 1st), very good throw in stride-though a bit too far forcing sliding catch-on 20 yd quick slant, extremely easy 16 yd TD vs. zone on perfect play call, terrible decision to throw a ball up for grabs in the middle of the field for int near the red zone-done with pressure on unblocked blitz (5:33 2nd), perfect timing on quick slant hitting WR just after he turned for the ball and right in the hands, outstanding job going through 3 reads in about 2 seconds to find WR for short dump off on 3rd and 2 for the 1st-also was a run/pass audible that he chose correctly (13:50 3rd), great job on 1st drive of 3rd Q using hurry up to keep Georgia constantly confused and calling plays without a huddle finally forcing GA to call timeout, solid fake to WR on end around then perfectly thrown lob pass to TE (maybe a tad too much air) for +15 yds, overthrew covered 9 route (4:44 3rd), perfect touch pass on lob over D for 3 yd TD (3:11 3rd), good accuracy on quick slant during time killing 4th Q drive. Mountain West Conference OPOY in 2011. In the 2011 Arizona St. game he had perfect 8 yd pass to TE in middle of field but dropped-great accuracy in tight cov, pooch punted it 24 yds on 4th and 6, WR dropped well thrown back shoulder throw with safety on the inside of field-NFL throw (5:45 1st), below average velocity but good timing and accuracy on 13 yd curl against a blitz, good 14 yd throw to open TE for TD, solid velocity on 20 yd post to wide open WR but threw behind him for batted ball INT (3:20 1st), great 20 yd post hitting WR perfectly low and away from safety for diving catch, perfect back shoulder throw on 3 yd TD (12:06 2nd), overthrew tight cov on post but showed solid strength with it 40 yds in the air-when he gets his feet set he has solid velocity he just can’t throw it well on the run or off his back foot, great back shoulder throw but WR dropped would be 17 yd TD, good step up in pocket getting hit by arm of pass rusher going by then throwing perfect ball in stride to TE on cross route (1:30 2nd), hit as he threw getting duck to LB for INT-not his fault, poor am strength throwing 15 yd out on run barely getting to diving WR on throw not that far showing weakness when he gets taken off his launching point (3:40 3rd). He once again looked extremely accurate, elite at going through his reads, had good pocket presence avoiding a sack most QBs take, and showed solid arm strength on plays where he could step into his throw. The problem is that if you get him off his launch spot he will struggle as he doesn’t have the arm strength to throw on the run or off his back foot more than 10 yds and even with his feet set he will have trouble throwing more than 50 yards or so in the air. I think you can hide his deficiencies in the right system and his elite productivity in the red zone (far superior than Luck in this facet) makes it possibly worth it. But at the end of the day I don’t want to draft a QB who has such glaring physical deficiencies (arm strength, mobility, height) so I am giving him a 4th round grade for a QB who I think will only be a quality backup but has an outside shot as a starter 12/29/11. Senior Bowl: Day 1: Measured 5’11. Good velocity on dig route. 11×11: Perfect throw in stride to open TE for 15 yds. Day 2: Fumbled snap with C Michael Brewster. Day 2: 11×11: Threw behind WR on slant for INC-catchable but still a poor throw. Day 3: 11×11: Good throw on naked bootleg in stride to open WR, dropped catchable shotgun snap. In the 2011 Senior Bowl Game: 2nd to play at QB, poor throw on short out as it wasn’t open, it showed his poor arm strength, and he wasn’t on same page as WR-actually replay showed it was tipped which is still a negative, perfect thrown on shallow cross in stride getting 1st down, not on same page as RB who went other way on run, sacked easily by DE-not his fault but a tipped ball and easy sack show he has major physical limitations, perfect throw in stride for 18 yds on post but WR dropped it, perfect throw one play later for 20 yd TD on post but again WR dropped it ! (2:20 2nd), solid 5 yd check down that turned more by YAC, good 10 yd throw to cov WR for pbu and PI but ball on target, great underthrow on wheel route to FB on 3rd and 16 with safety help over the top for the conversion (10:13 4th), poor throw showing lack of arm strength with DE in his face on naked bootleg and one hopping it to WR in flat as had to throw off back leg. When given time he showed great accuracy, ability to read a defense, and elite anticipation yet if he ever was moved off his spot or forced to throw on the run he struggled mightily. I like him as a career backup but think his lack of size and arm strength will make it too easy for defenses to game plan against him and force him to beat them on deeper throws which he just can’t do. Unfortunately he looks like a career backup who will be a popular player among fans who want him to replace their starter but probably shouldn’t long term. Out of the 6 QBs he was at the bottom at #6 (Weeden, Wilson, Lindley, Cousins, Foles). He and Foles were neck and neck for the last spot.

Tape: 2011:Georgia,Arizona St., TCU, Senior Bowl Practice and Game

Overall: Not since Danny Wuerffel has a player been so good in college and so lightly regarded as an NFL prospect. Unfortunately for Moore it’s likely he fails just like Wuerffel did as his size, speed, and arm strength limitations are just so glaring that I don’t think even he will be able to overcome them. If he had one physical attribute to hang his hat on (like Russell Wilson does with his speed) I would move him dramatically higher than I have him graded at as I love watching this kid play and think he could have been one of the all time greats if given a little more to work with. He has elite anticipation of where to go with the football as so many of Boise State’s plays had him throwing only 1-2 seconds after the snap and he is so smart at dissecting a defense. He also is extremely accurate and consistently hits his WRs in stride giving them extra yards. This was especially true in 2010 when he had two NFL caliber WRs to work with and basically rewrote collegiate record books with a 182.6 QB rating, 35/6 TD to INT ratio, and an astounding 10.04 YPA! I was very curious to see how he would fare after those two left and he did almost as good going 12-1 and putting up only slightly worse numbers. Yet my favorite thing about Moore is how clutch the kid is as he went 6-0 against BCS teams, finished in the top 11 all four years, and is the winningest QB in college football history with a 50-3 record with a number of these wins occurring on late game winning drives by Moore. Unfortunately he still is barely 6’0, has a weak arm, and has limited mobility making me think he’s unlikely to ever be more than a very good backup who will be almost like another QB coach for a starter to pick the brain of. He struggles a lot when a team gets him off his launching point and forces him to move around or throw on the run. He also seems incapable of throwing a ball more than 40-50 yds in the air and doesn’t show great touch on his deep passes either. I think Moore will be a good backup because he will be able to have solid success in the NFL in short spurts yet if he plays consistently for a team at QB defensive coordinators will have time to game plan against him and the results could be very bad. They’ll press his WRs, blitz him up the middle, and force him to make throws on the run or throw over the top of coverages. I don’t think he’ll be able to do that and his numbers will decline as other teams figure him out. Colt McCoy had good accuracy, elite production, a stronger arm than Moore, and much better mobility yet he’s now being replaced by the Browns as he’s just too small for the position. Moore is an even worse physical specimen and appears headed to a life as a career backup in the NFL followed by a job as an offensive coordinator or head coach somewhere. 6th round as my #15 QB 3/14/12.

16. Tyler HansenColorado #9 6’0 ½ 222 Sr.

Comparison: Jamie Martin

Stats: Pac-12

Year

Yards

%

TD

INT

Sack

YPA

Rating

2011

2883

56.1

20

11

26

7.00

125.5

2010

1102

68.3

6

6

16

6.72

129.5

2009

1440

55.8

8

7

33

6.23

113.6

2008

280

52.3

1

4

7

4.31

81.3

Notes: In the 2011 East-West Shrine Game he had solid 15 yd out to open WR, 6 yd QB draw ending with slide, 3 yd TD on QB draw (5:20 2nd), ball batted down at LOS, shallow cross in stride to WR allowing YAC, poor throw on RB screen forcing one handed catch and ruining play, low throw on 6 yd out to TE for INC, threw cross into the ground-very bad throw, spectacular play avoiding rusher and stepping up in pocket throwing a dart 40 yds right to open WR for big gainer (1:02 3rd), good speed on scramble for 9 yds-looked fast and elusive for a pocket passer (14:15 4th), good mobility again on rollout juking DE in space to gain time to step up and make dump off to TE for 10 yds-very smart and comfortable when the play breaks down (2:55 4th), perfect pass in stride to TE on seam route who only had a step getting 20 yds (2:20 4th), good quick throw to TE on open seam route before LB could get over but wasn’t paying attention and hit him in the back. In the 2011 East-West Shrine Game he was one of the best of the 6 QBs at #2 (Coleman). 7th round 1/27/12.

Tape: 2011: East-West Shrine Game

Overall: Tyler was a QB I initially dismissed in my scouting process as his numbers weren’t great, he’s short (6’0 ½), he doesn’t have the biggest arm, and he isn’t that fast or elusive yet he really opened up my eyes at the East-West Shrine Game as he has just enough mobility to be dangerous and throws a really good ball. He was far superior to bigger names like Austin Davis, Chandler Harnish, and John Brantley looking more accurate and a better decision maker than them. His lack of NFL caliber size most likely makes him a backup but as a late round possibility I like him a lot and think he’ll stick on some team’s roster as a backup. 7th round as my #16 QB 3/14/12.

17. Jordan Jefferson LSU #9 6’4 1/8 223 Sr.

Comparison: Poor man’s Aaron Brooks

Stats: SEC

Year

Yards

%

TD

INT

Sack

YPA

Rating

2011

737

61.0

6

2

14

7.37

138.7

2010

1411

56.5

7

10

18

6.75

114.7

2009

2166

61.5

17

7

34

7.32

137.2

2008

419

49.3

4

1

9

5.74

112.9

Combine: Severely underthrew 9 route on 9 route back shoulder drill. Strong arm on dig route drill. Poor throw on speed out drill. Great throw on corner route drill.

HGT

WGT

Arms

Hands

40

Reps

Vert

Broad

Shuttle

3 Cone

1 yr %

6041

223

33

10.25

4.65

14

36.5

908

4.06

6.81

100

 

 

 

Notes: Had a very bad ’10 (1,411 56 % 7/10) that looks much better after his very good ’10 Cotton Bowl vs. TAMU (158 52% 3/1). Only had 1 game of +200 yds passing and only 6 of 13 games of +100 yards passing. In the ’10 Cotton Bowl vs. TAMU had good 6 yd hitch throw right before Von Miller hit him hard (3:15 1st), elite quickness on 10 yd scramble down sidelines (2:03 1st), perfect 42 yd post to Terrance Tolliver vs. Terrence Frederick’s average coverage (1:52 1st), very poor throw on post route being off by 10 yards-miscommunication? (12:10 2nd), badly missed 24 yd seam route that was wide open (7:22 2nd), average thrown on 13 yd slant as Tolliver had to slow a bit for it reducing yardage (6:09 2nd), horrible throw on quick hitter to Tolliver against a big cushion throwing the 3 yd pass way over his head (4:02 2nd), poor seam route to Russell Shephard being low and behind him on 3rd down (3:15 2nd), average fade route on 3 yd TD as Tolliver was great at shielding Frederick to catch the fade that had great air under it but was actually thrown closer to the defender than Tolliver (1:32 2nd), perfect 41 yd post to Tolliver vs. CB Dustin Harris’ average coverage as he threw it to him on a rope perfectly in stride (12:10 3rd), poor throw to RB Spencer Ware on wheel route that he dove and caught spectacularly (3:21 3rd), and had a good 12 yd slant to Tolliver on 3rd and 8 helping seal the game when it was somewhat close (8:35 4th). He had a very solid game statistically in the ’10 Cotton Bowl but even when watching his best game of the year I came away thinking that he was a poor QB. He missed numerous wide open throws and looked far more comfortable running than throwing. Yet his speed, superior at least straight line compared to VY or Tebow, and his height (a legit 6’5 frame) guarantee that he will at least be drafted in 2012 in the late rounds and become a project 3rd stringer for somebody. I personally doubt he will ever play a snap as QB in the NFL but do understand how someone would take a chance on him. Currently I rate him as a 6th round who I would attempt to transfer to WR as his speed is borderline elite and at 6’5 224 running a 4.4 he would have 1st round measurables 1/25/11. Suspended the 2011 season opener vs. Oregon due to his involvement in a fight outside a bar that caused Baton Rouge police to interview him. Booed when he came into the game on a short yardage play in his first game back as most fans want Lee to stay in there. In the 2011 Florida game had a nice throw a tad behind TE DeAngelo Pedersen for 22 yds on 3rd and 19 (8:45 3rd), terrible timing and throw on 3rd and goal pass for quick out that had to be thrown immediately (4:46 3rd), nice jump pass for 2 yd TD doing the fake brilliantly (12:23 4th). In the 2011 Arkansas game he had a great game showing off his rifle arm with improved accuracy and looking like a guy who knew where to go with the football. Also showed his very good speed taking a QB zone read 48 yds for a TD to really blow the game open (10:24 4th), Going into the year he was a late round long term project type yet the more I watch him the more I see a 2nd or 3rd rounder who could even sneak into the late 1st if he wows in the postseason activities 11/26/11.  In the 2011 Alabama game #2 he had poor pitch then poor keeper on option early in game, bad throw very high on open 7 yd hitch but caught, solid 8 yd slant to open WR, solid quick slant with YAC, poor throw on short out to open RB on dump off for INC, good 20 yd throw but WR just missed extended hands catch, good 19 yd sideline throw between CB and S, unlucky play as he scrambled and flipped ball to RB just as he turned his shoulder causing him to not be aware and allow LB easy INT-dumb play but also unlucky and his character showed through as he screamed at RB blaming teammate for his mistake (7:00 3rd), good scramble up middle after eluding blitzing MLB for 18 yds, barely too long on 30 yd post as he got hit-would be TD. He ran the option poorly all night, he had a few good throws but for the most part was inaccurate, and he just seemed scared and confused on the big stage. I still like him as a late round high ceilinged project but he briefly looked like he was putting it all together to be a fast riser come draft time and that crashed down in this game. 6th round 1/9/12. 7th round now as that game was just embarrassing 1/27/12.

Tape: 2011:Florida,Alabama #1,Alabama #2 (BCS Championship) 2010:Texas A&M (Cotton Bowl)

Overall: Jordan is an immature, selfish player who I am not a fan of at all. He will need to have a great work ethic and a good attitude to develop himself into a legit NFL QB yet I don’t think he has either and am very much against drafting developmental guys with character concerns. Purely talent wise he’s got a lot to work with though as he has a rifle for an arm (probably the strongest arm in the draft-him or Kinne), is tall (6’4), and fast (4.65 40). He has the tools for an NFL team to mold him into something special and for that he’ll probably be drafted in the 5th or 6th round but I dislike his lack of productivity, his off the field issues this past year, his lack of accuracy, and the fact that he blamed the LSU coaches for his poor play in the championship game. He’s not my type of player and I want no part of him but am giving him a 7th round grade b/c he has elite tools and will very likely be drafted as a 3rd QB project type by some team. 7th round as my #17 QB 3/15/12.

18. Chandler HarnishNorthern Illinois #12 6’1 5/8 219 Sr.   

Stats:

Year

Yards

%

TD

INT

Sack

YPA

Rating

2011

3216

61.7

28

6

11

8.38

153.0

2010

2530

64.7

21

5

12

8.66

157.8

2009

1670

64.1

11

6

10

7.49

137.9

2008

1528

55.9

8

9

7

7.24

120.7

Combine: Very good throw on 9 route back shoulder drill. In stride then slightly behind forcing slow down in 9 route drill.

HGT

WGT

Arms

Hands

40

Reps

Vert

Broad

Shuttle

3 Cone

1 yr %

6015

219

32.38

9.25

4.76

 

32.5

904

4.15

6.78

69.2

 

 

 

Notes: MAC POY in 2011. Has a ¾ delivery that he sometimes drops almost to sidearm. Owns 20 NIU offensive records. In the 2011 Arkansas St. game he had a great 33 yd 9 route perfectly thrown on almost a fade type throw (12:40 2nd), good throw on shallow cross despite pressure in his face-injured on play by hit, returned to game, overthrew 9 route, missed tight shallow cross with pressure on him, barely missed on threading the needle pass in red zone, underthrew 9 route for INT-his WR losing jump ball was bigger reason, wide open 43 yd TD on trick play-he did some great ball work hiding it behind his back (13:40 3rd), good 40 yd back shoulder 9 route, overthrew fade OOB just past back pylon, strong 11 yd run on zone read keeper-is fast but more elusive and strong than fast so an average 40 time shouldn’t be detrimental as he will be mobile in the NFL, very quick release avoiding pass rusher and throwing just before getting hit by another (10:08 4th). He’s a well built mobile QB with solid arm strength and accuracy who seems to be a bit raw of a passer but at worst a late round project type and who could move up into the 3rd-4th round area if he does well in the postseason. 6th round 1/9/12. In the 2011 East-West Shrine Game he got start at QB, dump off to RB then solid 8 yd hitch, good mobility beating DE on naked bootleg then juking LB in space for 6 yds (8:00 1st), fumbled snap, perfect throw to outside shoulder on 10 yd curl but still pbu as was tight cov, 8 yd out a little high forcing WR to small jump for it and got killed by S, solid speed on 6 yd run on 4th and 4 with everyone covered, good velocity and accuracy on 6 yd slant vs. tight cov, RB screen dropped, 3 yd TD on naked bootleg (10:05 2nd), solid play fake and perfect throw for 12 yds to open WR who dropped it, good low and away throw on 13 yd slant, sacked on naked bootleg by DE but showed strength nearly getting out of it, underthrew open 9 route for INT with S coming over from CF to undercut it (5:55 4th). In the 2011 East-West Shrine Game he was in the middle of the 6 QBs at #3 (Coleman, Hansen). There is a large drop from Hansen to him at #3 and, although I like his mobility and production, I don’t see any starting potential in him. Free Agent 1/27/12.

Tape:

Overall: Chandler is very similar in grade to Austin Davis in that they are both raw smaller school QBs with underrated athleticism (probable due to their skin color) who has some intriguing potential but not enough to ever expect him to become an NFL starter. I have him a little ahead of Davis as he was more prolific in college and, while they ran the same 40 time, Harnish is a better open field runner. If Tebow stays as the starter in Denver I think Harnish would be a great fit as a backup for that offense as he has similar tools and could run the read option plays that are integral to that offense. His lack of size makes it more likely he gets injured in that offense compared to +240 lb Tebow but as a backup his playing time should be limited anyways so durability wouldn’t be an issue. I like him as a career backup who gives a team a different dimension but his lack of height (6’1 1/2), poor release (3/4 release makes him even shorter), and average accuracy make me doubt he has any starting potential. 7th rounder as my #18 QB 3/15/12. 

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