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Draft Blog Pick 19-32

April 26, 2013

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Team: Ravens

Pick: 32nd (1st round)

Team Needs (In Order):  ILB, S, ILB, WR, CB

Player: Matt Elam

Jon’s Profile: As much as I like Matt Elam I can’t help but admit that he’s a little overrated. At 5’9 7/8 he’s a shorter safety, with 6 career INTs he somehow has received the moniker of a ball hawk-not true at all, and his Combine was just mediocre. What Elam does well is hit people as at 5’10 210 essentially he is built more like a RB than a DB and can really lay the wood. He also has solid ball skills and has good hands but is best position clearly is SS not FS and I question whether he has the elite athleticism to be dominant in the pros. Mayock compared him to Donte Whitner and it makes some sense due to the lack of height and big hits but Donte ran a 4.40 which is far different from Elam’s 4.54. While I like Elam’s tape and think he will be a very good starter I don’t see star potential in him and think he’s a bit overrated. Late 1st who barely stays in the 1st round as my #2 S 4/1/13.

Rankings:

Anderson’s 500

Mayock’s 100

Brandt’s 100

Daniel Jeremiah 50

Corey Chavous 200

33

25

54

30

52

Jon’s Thoughts on the pick: This was another solid pick in a long line of them over the years for Ozzie Newsome. He didn’t try and move up like the 49ers did but let the game come to him and eventually was able to take a safety at #32 that was higher ranked on my board than the 49ers took after trading up to #18. Elam is a hard hitting safety with enough speed, instincts, and ball skills to be solid in coverage. His best attribute is run stopping and as a hard hitter so he’ll fit in perfectly with the Ravens. I sure wish the Cowboys had chosen Elam a pick earlier as I’d be in a lot better mood right now.

Drunk Cowboys Fan: ZZZZZZZZZZ

Team: Cowboys

Pick: 31st (1st round)

Team Needs (In Order):  S, DT, RT, RG, RB

Player: Travis Frederick

Jon’s Profile: 

Travis Frederick Wisconsin #72 6’3 5/8 312 Jr.

Comparison: Philip Blake

Combine: Huge beard. Double major in computer engineering and computer science. Terrible 40 time being 5.50 or higher both times. 1.85 10 yd split. Surprisingly good in kick slide drill. Had slowest 40 time among centers and surprised me with only 21 reps as he’s a bigger center.

HGT

WGT

Arms

Hands

40

Reps

Vert

Broad

Shuttle

3 Cone

1 yr %

6035

312

33

5.58

21

28.5

907

7.81

4.76

Notes: In the 2011 Nebraska game was thrown aside on first play by Jared Crick for TFL (14:55 1st), solid 4 sec run block on run away (13:10 1st), had initial help from Konz and still couldn’t block Crick on run play who tackled him for short gain (5:55 1st), solid pull block getting MLB for a sec but unable to keep him blocked as he made the tackle (2:50 1st), good run block on Crick pushing him to the side he penetrated on to keep him away from play, stacked and shed but able to hold him enough to make Crick not make tackle. 2nd team Big 10 in 2012. 2nd team Big 10 in 2012. In the 2012 Nebraska game (Big 10 championship) he looked dominant and I loved his frame but his strength and athleticism didn’t jump out at me. He looks like a future 3rd-4th round pick who becomes a solid starter but is never elite 12/29/12. In the 2012 Wisconsin game (Rose Bowl) he turned NT David Perry for easy run up middle, beat on snap by DE Ben Gardner but recovered nicely to pancake him to side, got off balance on 2nd block and pancaked by LB AJ Tarpley, couldn’t block LB Shayne Skov on screen ruining play, turned and pancaked Perry on inside run, whiffed on Perry for TFL on 3rd and 1. He had a few poor plays but overall was pretty dominant against one of the 5 best DL in the country. 3rd round 1/3/13.

Overall: Frederick is a big, mauling center which is very rare to find. He cut weight to add athleticism for the Combine but usually he plays in the 320s. For a team that plays a bunch of 3-4 defenses (most 3-4 defenses have a huge NT lined up over the center) or runs the ball regularly Frederick will be a great fit as he was a roadgrader at Wisconsin and should continue in the NFL. That being said I almost moved him to OG from C as the center position requires a quickness that he appears to lack and I worry about that. Some have Frederick as the #1 C on their board but I can’t as I’ve seen far too much film of him being exploited by quicker DL or blitzing LBs and I think it is a weakness that will be exploited at the next level. A system specific (only run oriented offenses) center with an elite frame and strength but below average in other aspects. Late 3rd round as my #4 C 3/27/13.

Rankings:

Anderson’s 500

Mayock’s 100

Brandt’s 100

Daniel Jeremiah 50

Corey Chavous 200

98

92

45

NR

164

Jon’s Thoughts on the pick: This is flat out a terrible pick. Comparing the pick of where the player was chosen at vs. where I ranked him at gives me a score of -67 (#98 ranked player taken #31) which is the 4th worst score in the 1st round. What’s worse is that the scores worse than this (EJ Manuel, Kyle Long, Kenny Vaccaro) can at least be argued that I was the one going against the grain. EJ Manuel had a 2nd round grade on most boards so yes it was a reach in the middle of the 1st but it the score was inflated by me being the only person giving him a 4th round grade. Yet look at the other four scouts ranks I compiled and you will see that NO ONE gave this guy a 1st round grade. I gave him a late 3rd round grade as did Mayock with Corey Chavous giving him a 5th round grade and even Brandt giving him no better than a mid 2nd round grade. For the Cowboys to trade out of #18 when a Top 5 talent like Shariff Floyd falls into their laps AND then draft a second tier center with their later pick is an absolute disaster. The only two positives to come out of this are that Jerry finally actually did address the offensive line and that they added another 3rd rounder (#74) for Jerry to mad scientist with. This draft weekend is only 1/3 over and I’m already depressed. Thanks a lot Jerry!

Drunk Cowboys Fan: I must be drunk because I thought they said the Cowboys drafted a center. This isn’t basketball, how silly. Are the Cowboys going to take a point guard in the 2nd round? Drunk Uncle impression going on right here folks.

Team: Vikings

Pick: 30th (1st round)

Team Needs (In Order):  S, WR, OG, S, RB

Player: Alec Ogletree

Jon’s Profile:  Ogletree is one of the best LBs I’ve ever graded. His burst is spectacular and combines with his long frame and good instincts to cause him to be a tremendous run stopper. Yet, while he will regularly have +100 tackle seasons in the NFL, the thing that sets him apart is his talent in coverage. I’ve never graded a quicker, more instinctive LB in coverage than Ogletree as he absolutely blankets RBs and TEs in the passing game. His long frame and his elite talent in coverage makes me compare him to Brian Urlacher and I think Ogletree has every bit of Urlacher’s talent. Ogletree’s one flaw is that he isn’t the strongest or toughest player and at times can be run at. He will need to be paired with a bruising thumper type LB early in his careeer while his long frame adds weight. Once he adds the weight though he should be a complete LB and one of the best in the game. It’s ironic how Manti Te’o got so much love this year by the media while Ogletree was barely mentioned. Te’o has a late 3rd round grade on my board while Ogletree has a Top 15 grade as one of the best LBs I’ve ever graded. It just goes to show you how wrong analysts and experts are as they didn’t even notice an elite talent like Alec. Top 15 as my #1 LB who is the best coverage LB I’ve ever graded and a future Pro Bowler 4/3/13.

Rankings:

Anderson’s 500

Mayock’s 100

Brandt’s 100

Daniel Jeremiah 50

Corey Chavous 100

14

44

19

18

?

Jon’s Thoughts on the pick:  I’ve been a huge fan of Ogletree all year and have been quite open about how much better he is than Manti Te’o. Well it’s just where they were drafted but I do love that Ogletree not Te’o was the first ILB off the board. Ogletree is an elite athlete that is one of the best ILBs in coverage I’ve ever graded. He instantly upgrades that defense and joins Chris Long, Robert Quinn, Courtland Finnegan, and Janoris Jenkins on a defense that is quickly becoming one of the better ones in the league. Comparing where a player ranks on my board vs. where they were taken puts this pick just behind Minnesota’s Shariff Floyd pick as the 2nd best value of the 1st round. I love this pick by the Rams.

Drunk Cowboys Fan: Opening up beer #11, this trade down is going to force me to call into work tomorrow.

Team: Vikings

Pick: 29th (1st round)

Team Needs (In Order):  CB, DE, LB, WR, S

Player: Cordarrelle Patterson

Jon’s Profile:  Every year there are one or two players that come out of nowhere in my opinion solely because of how much Mike Mayock gushes about them. At the end of last season I couldn’t find one expert arguing that Patterson was their #1 WR yet suddenly Mayock watches his “4 game films on each guy” and proclaims that Cordarrelle is the best wideout in this draft. I completely disagree as I don’t even have him as the #1 WR coming out of Tennessee and the reason is because he’s not just raw but he’s extremely tight and is soft. He ran a 4.42 at the Combine yet I was disappointed which shows just how fast he is on film and there’s no denying that the kid has deep speed. Yet when I watch his film I see a player that body catches everything, a player that is scared of contact, a tightly wound player with poor body control and quickness, and a player that doesn’t get nearly enough production out of his elite size/speed ratio. In the JUCO ranks he dominated but in SEC games he was a non-factor with 2 catches or less for 31 yards or less against Georgia, Mississippi St., and Alabama. He has the build more like a RB than a WR and I could tell the Tennessee coaching staff wanted the ball in his hands more than his receiving skills would allow so he often lined up in the backfield or got the ball on reverses or end arounds from his WR spot. If you take away his 9 219 1 TD performance against lowly Troy his numbers look even more middling and I question what the difference is between Patterson and Darius Heyward-Bey who also body caught everything, showed elite speed, lacked toughness, and lacked any real route running or short area quickness. Patterson looks like a DHB clone as he’ll provide a team with a deep threat but likely will have a limited number of catches and below average production due to the rawness of his game and his lack of quickness. Late 2nd round and highly overrated as my #6 WR 3/19/13.

Rankings:

Anderson’s 500

Mayock’s 100

Brandt’s 100

Daniel Jeremiah 50

Corey Chavous 100

64

30

8

25

39

Jon’s Thoughts on the pick: I’ve never been a fan of Patterson but admit the upside is incredibly high with this kid. He’s another raw project that in most drafts get taken in the 2nd or 3rd round yet in this draft for some reason were taken in the 1st. While this pick doesn’t sit well with me I really loved the Minnesota draft overall as they come out of it with 3 players they really like in the Top 29 picks and two of them are great value in my opinion.

Drunk Cowboys Fan: So the other wide receiver with more receptions, yards, TDs, and better height (Justin Hunter) gets drafted after the other one? That’s strange.

Team: Broncos

Pick: 28th (1st round)

Team Needs (In Order):  DE, DT, RB, CB, S

Player: Sylvester Williams

Jon’s Profile:  Sylvester is a player with 1st round talent yet too much inconsistency for a grade remotely that high. At nearly 6’3 315 a man shouldn’t be able to run a 5.03 40, rep 225 lbs 30x, and look athletic in drills yet that is what Sylvester did at the Combine. Yet at the Senior Bowl, both during the week of practice and in the game, he was quiet and I had to pay attention to him to notice him at all. In the 2012 season his sacks and TFL basically doubled yet he was invisible in many games there as well. When going full bore he’s a pretty good player but he lacks a great motor and even at 100% effort he still often is quiet making me wonder if he’s much like Kawann Short in that he’s athletic yet not quite athletic enough to be considered a true disrupter at DT. In the end I think a team will like Sylvester but not love him as he’ll be a solid enough DT yet one who isn’t always motivated and isn’t always a playmaker for them. Early 3rd round yet with 1st round upside as my #8 DT 3/2/13.

Rankings:

Anderson’s 500

Mayock’s 100

Brandt’s 100

Daniel Jeremiah 50

Corey Chavous 100

74

22

18

15

34

Jon’s Thoughts on the pick: This pick kind of surprises me as DT was a need but with Damontre Moore and Tank Carradine available I expected Elway to go DE. Williams is highly rated by many people so he’s reasonable value but I didn’t like him as he has a poor motor and was quiet in too many games I scouted. His highlight reel is up there with the top 3 DTs but the rest of his game isn’t so to me it’s a reach though the consensus would be that it’s a good pick.

Drunk Cowboys Fan: For a team that’s been pretty average the past few years there sure have been a lot of early round picks out of North Carolina.

And that is why you don’t trade down. The farther down Jerry goes in a draft the worse he is. Frederick was the #98 player on my board. He was the #4 center in this draft. I will admit that some had him as the #1 center in this draft but I didn’t see one mock with him in there at any spot in the 1st round and never heard one analyst say they had a 1st round grade on him. The guy that I thought we would take which would be a B grade was Matt Elam. He went in the last 1st round but to the Ravens who know how to draft. Instead we chose Frederick which I would give a D grade for as at best he’s a reach and at worst he’s a HUGE reach. I have him as the latter as he’s slow and unathletic with his best attribute, run blocking, not being utilized in Jason Garrett’s passing offense. As always I will point out the guy I would have taken instead of the Cowboys pick. My pick is Barrett Jones. It won’t look great either long term in all likelihood as there was no center in this draft deserving of a 1st round pick and it stuns me that the Cowboys obviously had a strategy already worked out to move back and take Frederick. This all seems to me like the Cowboys thought too long about strategies instead of just sticking to their board and taking things as they came. If they had been quick on their feet they would’ve realized Shariff Floyd unexpectedly fell to them and snapped him up quickly. I suspect we will find out later that the trade with the 49ers was pre-arranged as the 49ers probably didn’t need to move up to get Eric Reid, most had Matt Elam ranked higher than him anyway and he went #32, and the Cowboys should never have traded back with Floyd on the board. This is a frustrating end to a somewhat boring night for me and I can’t help but feel like the Cowboys barely missed out on having a great draft and instead settled for having a terrible 1st round.

Here we go Cowboys fans. The wait is almost over. There are a lot of options but to me the money is still on Elam or Cyprien. We shall see in a few minutes.

Team: Texans

Pick: 27th (1st round)

Team Needs (In Order):  WR, RT, 3-4 OLB, NT, S

Player: DeAndre Hopkins

Jon’s Profile: DeAndre seems to never get the recognition he deserves. At Clemson he was always overshadowed by the spectacular Sammy Watkins and now going into the NFL Draft he’s being underappreciated again due to a poor 40 time (4.57) that has ended all the momentum he had coming off a very good 2012. While Hopkins is being overshadowed by elite size/speed guys like Cordarrelle Patterson, Justin Hunter, and Terrance Williams it suspect that Hopkins will have the superior career as he’s a more complete wideout. With size (6’1 214), strength, elite hands, and better game speed than his 40 would suggest he is a complete WR and one that I feel is highly underrated. In 2012 he had very good production against NFL caliber talent in FSU and LSU making me very confident he will translate to the NFL quicker than most wideouts. While lacking 1st round athleticism he still ends up with a grade that is close as an early 2nd due to his all around game and top notch game film. Early 2nd as my #4 WR 3/17/13.

Rankings:

Anderson’s 500

Mayock’s 100

Brandt’s 100

Daniel Jeremiah 50

Corey Chavous 100

40

42

37

42

27

Jon’s Thoughts on the pick: I like Hopkins. I think Justin Hunter will end up as the better player but Hopkins and Robert Woods were the two most NFL ready wideouts still available and I think the Texans are entering an all or nothing type season under Matt Schaub so I understand why they take the more NFL ready WR in Hopkins while losing some “potential” down the line compared with Hunter. Hopkins is a great route runner, has good hands, and is tough. He’s one of the few wideouts that consistently made plays against LSU in the past few seasons and was underrated. Being taken here though is a bit of a reach so I’m meh on the pick despite liking Hopkins a lot as a player.

Drunk Cowboys Fan: I’m bored. When do we pick.

Team: Packers

Pick: 26th (1st round)

Team Needs (In Order):  DT, OT, C, S, OG

Player: Datone Jones

Jon’s Profile: Yes I have Datone Jones as a DT not a DE. It’s not a mistake as when watching his tape he was far more productive inside than outside and at essentially 6’4 285, with no fat, he easily could gain another 10 lbs this offseason and be the same weight as many DTs in the NFL. I envision Datone as an elite one gap penetrating player who can be moved all around the DL to exploit a team’s weak link at OL. His frame is currently at 283 lbs and with almost no fat on it (was one of the best frames by the DL at the Combine), his MMA training has made him an outstanding hand fighter, and his athleticism in drills tested solidly for a DE but was elite for a DT. At UCLA this season he spent almost every play either lined up over the C or lined up on the outside edge of the RG with that being the spot lined up by a 3-4 NT or 3-4 DE. There is very little difference in those spots versus a 4-3 DT and I don’t see him having any difficulty as a full time DT. The NFL is a passing league and interior pass rushers like Jones are worth their weight in gold. His versatility, explosiveness, productivity (6.5 sacks, 19 TFLs in 2012), and hand fighting are all elite for a DT and he showed enough strength (29 reps) to make me comfortable with the full time move inside. Late 1st as my #3 DT 3/2/13.

Rankings:

Anderson’s 500

Mayock’s 100

Brandt’s 100

Daniel Jeremiah 50

Corey Chavous 100

31

27

92

44

 ?

Jon’s Thoughts on the pick: It will be interesting to see where and how they play him as I love the kid’s versatility but have him as a DT not a DE. Most likely he’ll be a mix as a 3-4 DE and at that spot he fits pretty well. He’s a guy that really played well in 2012 and followed it up with a good Senior Bowl and great Combine. I’m not as high on him as Jon Gruden appears to be, is he down on anyone?, but think he’s a good fit in a 3-4 scheme and is another talented front 7 player for the Packers.

Drunk Cowboys Fan: So seriously I’m drunk. I can’t twy1pe anymwoere.

Pausing for a bit with the Cowboys pick coming up. So here are the best available:
At S you can go Matt Elam or Jonathan Cyprin

At LB you can go Manti Te’o (Ross would love that) or Alec Ogletree-thankfully Te’o doesn’t even fit their need at LB as they need an OLB with Sean Lee being perfect at MLB.

At DE you have Demontre Moore and Tank Carradine who both have Top 10 grades on my board and would be steals at #31

At RB you have the #1 guy Eddie Lacy. Not a need but wow that’d be interesting wouldn’t it be?

At CB you have Tyrann Mathieu who is the #3 CB on my board (4 by the way have already been taken) and I agree with Jon Gruden that he’s worth a 1st round pick

At WR you have Justin Hunter who is very undervalued.

If I had to bet I’d say Matt Elam or Jonathan Cyprien is our pick. The trade down is smart only because safety is the Cowboys biggest need (in the opinion of most people at least) and there was sure to be at least one good safety available at the end of Round 1.

Team: Vikings

Pick: 25th (1st round)

Team Needs (In Order):  CB, DE, LB, WR, S

Player: Xavier Rhodes

Jon’s Profile: Xavier is a player that has popped off the film from Day 1 and while he never took that final step to becoming a superstar there is still too much to like in the kid to be that disappointed. At 6’1 ½ 210 with nearly ’34 arms he’s a huge CB and one that would excel in a Seattle type press scheme with safety help over the top. With 4.43 40 speed and elite explosion (40.5 vert-1st among 60 DBs at the Combine) he also has the rare athleticism that would allow him to play man coverage and gives a team the versatility to play press man or press drop back zone coverage. Rhodes also has very good ball skills and isn’t just a physical freak but shows a nuanced feel for technique knowing at all times how much ground he can cover with his elite length. I like Rhodes a lot yet in 2011 I had a mid 1st round grade on him and 2 years later he has the same grade as he never improved his quickness or his strength which both were and still are question marks. With his size and ball skills part of me wants to move him to FS as he has the size for it and would give the defensive coordinator great versatility as when a team went to 3 wideouts he could stay in his base defense and just move Rhodes down to cover one of the wideouts. Yet for 3 straight seasons he played CB at FloridaState and did it well so I’m leaving him here despite my concerns that he will be exploited by the smaller, quicker wideouts in the NFL. Rhodes reminds me of Jimmy Smith with elite size/speed yet without Smith’s attitude or marijuana issues. He never took his game to the next level to become a Top 5 pick but he has the talent to do that later on and at worst he’ll be a very solid CB or FS for an NFL team with his size allowing him to move to FS possibly later in his career ala Charles Woodson. Top 15 as my #2 CB 4/17/13.

Rankings:

Anderson’s 500

Mayock’s 100

Brandt’s 100

Daniel Jeremiah 50

Corey Chavous 100

16

20

8

17

33

Jon’s Thoughts on the pick: I love Minnesota’s two picks as they got the steal of the 1st round with Shariff at #23 and then a very good player (#16 overall on my board, #2 CB) at #25. Both project as Day 1 starters with Pro Bowl potential. Good job Minnesota.

Drunk Cowboys Fan: So I’ve had a beer every 3 picks thinking that I’d cut myself off at 6 with the Cowboys pick. They’ve traded back though and now I just opened beer #9. Jerry make a freakin pick! My liver can’t handle much more!

Team: Colts

Pick: 24th (1st round)

Team Needs (In Order):  OG, CB, RB, WR, S

Player: Bjoern Werner

Jon’s Profile:  Werner is a player that has a lot of value as a strong side DE in a 4-3 scheme yet who is constantly expected to be something he isn’t and as such has been disappointing quite a lot of people. He’s been considered a Top 5 pick for a few months now by the media despite the fact that his best comparisons are to players like Chris Long and Greg Ellis who average 8-10 sacks a season for a team. Werner is strong against the run, can handle powerful RTs, and has enough athleticism to generate a consistent pass rush yet a team in the Top 5 seeking 15 sacks a season from their pass rusher should look elsewhere. Bjoern is a high character, high motor player who will be a steady pro and plays a position of value so I consider him worth a Top 15 selection yet until teams get it out of their head that Werner, due to his lack of football experience, has untapped potential ala JPP, they will be sure to disappoint themselves when they realize they drafted an above average starter and not a Pro Bowler. Werner has solid athleticism for a SDE and the frame to add another 10 lbs so I’m still high on the kid and other teams should be as well if they can just re-adjust their expectations. Top 20 grade who projects out as a 10 year starter at SDE and as my #6 PR 3/3/13.

Rankings:

Anderson’s 500

Mayock’s 100

Brandt’s 100

Daniel Jeremiah 50

Corey Chavous 100

17

26

26

32

7

Jon’s Thoughts on the pick: A good solid player but one who doesn’t fit a 3-4 scheme at all. I question the pick based on that but liked Werner (#17 on my board) and think he was another of those productive players that was overshadowed by the more athletic projects like Dion Jordan, Barkevious Mingo, and Ziggy Ansah. Werner had more production than any of them and is also a good run stopper. Where will he play though? 3-4 DE or 3-4 OLB as neither fit that well for him.

Drunk Cowboys Fan: Goodenglobben

Team: Minnesota

Pick: 23rd (1st round)

Team Needs (In Order):  CB, DE, LB, WR, S

Player: Shariff Floyd

Jon’s Profile:  Mike Mayock gushed about Shariff Floyd so much at the Combine that he’s no longer a secret but he never was to me as I’ve had him as the #1 DT for about 6 months now. He has extremely short arms yet otherwise has everything a team looks for in a DT with elite speed (4.92 40 is unheard of for a 300 lb DT), elite explosion (’30 vertical), and very good production both as a run stuffer (46 tackles each of past 2 seasons) and as a pass rusher (3 sacks, 13 TFL). His lack of arm strength, his mediocre sack total, and his indifference to football are all red flags that keep him from being a Top 5 talent but he’s still pretty close to it and has a higher grade than Marcel Dareus a few years back from Alabama. Top 10 as my #1 DT 3/2/13.

Rankings:

Anderson’s 500

Mayock’s 100

Brandt’s 100

Daniel Jeremiah 50

Corey Chavous 100

5

2

4

3

11

Jon’s Thoughts on the pick: Wow this pisses me off. This and Jarvis Jones are the two best picks of the 1st round and I doubt they are topped before the night it over. Floyd was ranked 5th on my board, 2nd on Mayock’s, and 4th on Gil Brandt’s. Guys that are so universally accepted as elite talents in a draft are rarely available at #18 and while Jerry was too dumb to take advantage Minnesota was quick to swipe him up. A great player that will be helped tremendously by being mentored by borderline Hall of Famer Kevin Williams.

Drunk Cowboys Fan: So why isn’t he a Cowboy again?

Team: Falcons

Pick: 22nd (1st round)

Team Needs (In Order):  CB, DE, RT, LB, CB

Player: Desmond Trufant

Jon’s Profile:  Desmond Trufant scares me. He has all the talent in the world and has the ability to become one of the better cornerbacks in the NFL but he still scares me. With very good height (5’11 5/8), good weight (190), elite straight line speed (4.38), and elite short area quickness (3.85 shuttle) he has everything you want in a CB and at the Senior Bowl he was the best CB there showing not just talent but a cockiness to him that coaches and scouts loved. Yet in 4 years as a starter he only picked off 6 passes, he ended his senior year with fewer tackles than any of his 3 previous years, and his career can best be described by one word: inconsistent. In the 2012 Oregon game he was spectacular and it should come as no surprise as they were the #2 team in the country that week and it was the biggest game of the year for the Huskies. In other games though he wasn’t nearly as good and often times it was against the less talented teams that he laid an egg. In a lot of ways he reminds me of Janoris Jenkins as he’s quick footed, feisty, and has the agility and hips to play man to man coverage all day long against even the best athletes. Yet in other ways he reminds me of Patrick Robinson when he came out of Florida State as both are immensely talented prospects that never really dominated the collegiate level and were drafted off upside. Trufant’s upside is as a true #1 CB with All-Pro potential yet why was he only honorable mention Pac-12 as a junior when he has that kind of talent? While everyone is loving Trufant’s offseason (dominated the Senior Bowl and had a great Combine) I still remember the countless games the past few seasons when Trufant either was invisible or disappointed. I see the potential of him being a Pro Bowl caliber, lock down CB but I also see him as being a risky pick. As a boom/bust pick with great upside he’s a late 1st rounder as my #4 CB 4/20/13.

Rankings:

Anderson’s 500

Mayock’s 100

Brandt’s 100

Daniel Jeremiah 50

Corey Chavous 100

29

35

30

43

19

Jon’s Thoughts on the pick:  An extremely talented roll of the dice as he’s potentially a Pro Bowl CB but Mike Jenkins potentially was one as well. They’re similar as they both are inconsistent guys that one minute made a spectacular play and the next were burned for a TD. Wasn’t All Pac-12 until his Senior year. To me that kind of stuff is what you pay attention to me more than a great 40 time (4.38). He does fit a need though and these kind of targeted trade ups are why I think so highly of Thomas Dimitroff. He’s one of the best GMs in football, although I would have targeted Xavier Rhodes over Trufant.

Drunk Cowboys Fan: And they say it’s not genetics. 3 Trufants in the NFL, really?

Team: Bengals

Pick: 21st (1st round)

Team Needs (In Order):  RT, S, CB, DT, LB

Player: Tyler Eifert

Jon’s Profile: Eifert and Ertz have battled all year for the #1 TE spot and Eifert narrowly misses out on it on my board. Eifert’s best attributes are his solid speed, good hands (very adept at winning jump balls and will be a threat in the red zone), and solid blocking skills. He’s a more well rounded TE than Ertz and can split out wide on one play while playing in line the next. Yet Eifert lacks the star quality of Ertz who is faster, more agile, and has much better hands. Eifert will drop a ball here or there, isn’t a smooth route runner, and looks like a future above average starter at TE while Ertz has Pro Bowl potential. Most teams probably have a higher grade on Eifert right now yet when Eifert was matched against NFL caliber DBs he rarely separated and I think he’ll never be a dominant pass catcher. Due to this lack of star quality he’s not a 1st rounder but I am still high on him as a future starting TE. Early 2nd round as my #2 TE 3/6/13.

Rankings:

Anderson’s 500

Mayock’s 100

Brandt’s 100

Daniel Jeremiah 50

Corey Chavous 100

41

13

12

10

6

Jon’s Thoughts on the pick:  Some had a Top 10 grade on him so he’s a good “value” pick but I never bought into him as a 1st rounder. To me he was inferior to former teammate Kyle Rudolph who was a 2nd rounder as well as Coby Fleener last year who was a 2nd rounder as well. He isn’t a seam stretcher that opens up the middle of the field for a team’s wideouts and too many of his catches were contested, tough ones. He has good hands but he projects more as a good starter and has no Pro Bowl potential. Most will love this pick but I think it’s very mediocre, especially considering they already have a very good TE in Jermaine Gresham. They had other ways to use this pick more usefully than this.

Drunk Cowboys Fan: Wow Manti wasn’t even the first golden domer drafted this year. Catfish that!

Team: Giants

Pick: 20th (1st round)

Team Needs (In Order):  LB, OG, DT, S, WR

Player: Kyle Long

Jon’s Profile:  Long is a kid that has gotten far too much publicity for having only started 11 games in his career. Being Howie Long’s son and Chris Long’s brother is a huge reason for it and I question why so many teams consider Kyle a 2nd round talent with Mike Mayock even thinking there is potential for him to sneak into the late 1st. He did have a great Combine though with an elite 40 (4.94) and a few other drills where he was in the upper echelon yet he has almost no experience as an OT and lacks the strength to be a dominant OG immediately. I like him as a developmental OT yet those types are usually drafted in the 4th-7th round range and again makes me question why everyone thinks he’s deserving of a Top 60 selection. As a development OT I like him but think whoever drafts him has to understand that he will likely have no impact as a rookie. Early 5th round and my #12 OT 2/23/13.

Rankings:

Anderson’s 500

Mayock’s 100

Brandt’s 100

Daniel Jeremiah 50

Corey Chavous 100

166

29

40

48

NR

Jon’s Thoughts on the pick:  Wow this to me is the reach of the draft as Long only started a year and a half at Oregon, has had off the field issues, and never was All Pac-12 (not even 3rd team for God sakes!) yet is a Top 20 pick? Yes I know he’s Howie Long’s son but so what! Mike Golic’s son is in this draft as is Jerry Rice’s son but they are worthless and to me Kyle is a step above worthless. He’s an extremely athletic player that might develop. You don’t take those guys in the 1st round. This is a terrible pick.

Drunk Cowboys Fan: Why write anything new. Yawn. How many OTs are going in this draft?

Team: Giants

Pick: 19th (1st round)

Team Needs (In Order):  CB, S, RT, LB, DE

Player: Justin Pugh

Jon’s Profile:  It’s too bad Pugh’s arms measured in so short as I had him pegged as a Top 15 player on my board and an extreme sleeper that too few people were paying attention to. Yet he did measure in at that right and while I try to convince myself that arm length is only one measurement I know that it’s an incredibly important one. The last OT with this problem was Bryan Bulaga and in his first 3 seasons in the NFL he’s been nothing more than an above average right tackle. Pugh has much better foot quickness than Bulaga did coming out of Iowa yet Pugh lacks the strength and toughness Bulaga exhibited which made him a perfect fit at RT and Pugh not so much. I personally think Pugh can overcome his arm length and be an above average RT or even LT yet I think he needs to be in a zone scheme that accentuates his speed and can get him out in space on screens, tosses, and draws. The fact that he has one clear red flag in his arm length AND looks to be somewhat scheme specific makes his draft stock decline even more. In the end I can’t drop Pugh any further than I have him already as his foot speed is elite (his quickness to LBs at the 2nd level is arguably the best I’ve ever graded), his game film is very good, and I suspect he could be a quality starting OT in the right system. 2nd round as my #6 OT 2/23/13.

Rankings:

Anderson’s 500

Mayock’s 100

Brandt’s 100

Daniel Jeremiah 50

Corey Chavous 100

60

24

59

19

30

Jon’s Thoughts on the pick:  People were all over the board with Pugh so I’m not shocked he went this early. At one time I had a Top 15 grade on him but when he measured 31 ½ arms I no longer saw him as a sure fire OT. I think he still might play OT but might need to play OG and those arms were just too big of a red flag for me to overlook. He could be good but I’m not betting on it.

Drunk Cowboys Fan: Yawn. How many OTs are going in this draft?

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