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2017 PR (Pass Rusher) Rankings

April 25, 2017

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  1. Myles Garrett Texas A&M 6’4 ½ 272 Jr. He ran a 4.64 40, ‘35 ¼ arms, ‘41 vertical and 10’8 broad all of which are elite. He had arguably the best workout at the Combine and seemed to cement his status as the best prospect in this draft. As a true freshman he dominated in the SEC (53 tackles, 11.5 sacks, 14 TFL) setting the SEC freshman sack record (previously held by Jadeveon Clowney) and then followed it up with an even better 2015 (59 tackles, 12.5 sacks, 19.5 TFL, 5 FF, 1 INT). His 5 FF as a true sophomore in the best conference in the nation is a wow stat to me. He did end his career on a down note in 2016 (33 tackles, 8.5 sacks, 15 TFL, 2 FF) but was hurt, missing 3 games and playing gimpy in a few others, and his stats were still very solid. His 32.5 sacks, 48.5 TFL, 7 FF in three seasons is elite production and makes comments like Warren Sapp’s ridiculous (he questioned Garrett’s production and said he was top prospect due to measurables not game tape). Garrett played well against NFL competition whenever he faced it (Conor McDermott, Laremy Tunsil, Cam Robinson, La’el Collins) and always seemed to be the better athlete. I don’t want to gush too much but Garrett really is about as perfect of a prospect as you will find. He has a perfect frame at 6’4 ½ 272 with elite arm length (‘35 ¼), elite pure speed (4.64 40), elite bend (some of the best bend around the corner I’ve graded since Robert Quinn in 2011), very good strength and great short area quickness. His start and stop ability is rare and makes him a great double move or fake speed rush, duck inside type rusher. Add in his spotless record off the field, high character as a person and leader, great motor and willingness to be taught and consistent strive for perfection and you really have the perfect player. He came into 2016 with nothing to prove but seemed to really strive to become a better run stopper. He also showed heart this year as he tried to gut it out vs. Mississippi State and Ole Miss despite being nowhere near 100% (he had 1 tackle in those two games and shouldn’t have suited up). Clowney was the #2 pass rusher I ever graded, behind Julius Peppers, despite having motor issues and questionable production late in his career because of his elite physical traits. Garrett has those same elite physical traits (I’d say he’s a little slower but stronger, longer and has much better bend) and doesn’t have any of the red flags that accompanied Clowney. Garrett is a no-brainer pick as the #1 Overall Prospect in this draft and has all the makings of a future hall of famer. Top 5 as my #1 PR who gets the highest grade I’ve ever handed out for a pass rusher. He’s the perfect prospect 4/23/17.
  2. Haasan Reddick Temple 6’1 ½ 237 Sr. Redshirted one year. Five years out of HS so he’s an older prospect. He ran a 4.52 40, ‘32 ¾ arms, ‘36 ½ vertical, 11’1 broad, 4.37 shuttle and 7.01 3 cone. He was a bit player in 2013-2014 (38 tackles, 3 sacks combined) and then had a solid season in 2015 (46 tackles, 5 sacks, 12.5 TFL, 1 FF) and a great one in 2016 (65 tackles, 10.5 sacks, 22.5 TFL, 3 FF, 1 INT). His 35 TFL and 4 FF the past two years are both elite production in those categories. 3rd in the nation in TFL in 2016. Haasan is possibly the fastest riser in this draft class which is pretty cool for a kid that went to Temple, let alone a walk on CB who slowly added weight and was moved to OLB where he became a star. Come draft day every team will want him as 3-4 teams will obviously see his pass rushing ability and want him in their system but 4-3 teams will covet him too as this is a weak linebacker class and Reddick has elite athleticism and a versatile game which allows him to stack and shed, rush the passer, drop in coverage and tackle in space. He’d make a perfect 4-3 SLB due to that versatility. He had a great Combine and plays to that level of athleticism as he pops on film with very good speed, a suddenness to him and outstanding quickness and agility which I’m sure has some 3-4 teams drooling. 4-3 teams will want him too due to his versatility but 3-4 teams will be the ones craving his services and should make him a very early pick as he looks like the perfect rush linebacker. His arms at ‘32 ¾ are mediocre and he could stand to gain 10 lbs but he has great athleticism, great production, is as quick and agile as you will find and has good strength. Add in his motor and his story as a former walk on and you have the possibility that he will be a relentless worker due to being overlooked much of his life. He dominated the Senior Bowl week and coaches specifically pointed to his cover skills as being exceptional. His ability to stack and shed and play with OL is impressive as well. He is by no means just a speed rusher as he sets the edge well and has a little power rush to his game. He is a little tightly built, doesn’t bend around the corner as well as I would like, and is a little undersized but otherwise he’s the perfect 3-4 OLB prospect. He should go very early and could become a perennial Pro Bowler but likely will settle in as a very good starter that gets 8-12 sacks a year and is asked to do more than just rush the passer as his coverage skills are elite. He barely misses a Top 10 grade, Top 15 as my #2 PR 4/22/17.
  3. Derek Barnett Tennessee 6’3 259 Jr. He ran a 4.88 40, ‘32 ⅛ arms, ‘31 vertical, 9’9 broad, 4.44 shuttle and 6.96 3 cone with his 3 cone being elite, his 40 being bad and the rest being average. He was great all three seasons at Tennessee with his true freshman season in the SEC in 2014 (72 tackles, 10 sacks, 20.5 TFL) being the most impressive. He followed it up in 2015 (69 tackles, 10 sacks, 12.5 TFL) and 2016 (56 tackles, 13 sacks, 19 TFL, 1 INT, 2 FF) with two more great seasons with his 33 sacks being elite as it broke Reggie White’s Tennessee career record! He plays both bigger and faster than his measurables as he plays like a 275 lb 4.75 athlete not a 260 lb 4.9 athlete like he measured as. He has solid bend around the corner and has some tape of him turning the corner in an elite way (2016 Florida game). He’s a speed rusher with the power to bull through RBs and clutter to get to the QB but he’s really more of a powerful speed rusher than a combo rusher. He lined up almost exclusively at WDE in their 4-3 and rarely ever moved. He’s a risky prospect as it’s hard to overlook his strength, elite quickness and elite production (three straight seasons of double digit sacks in the SEC!) yet he ran a 4.88 40 and at times his film shows that mediocre athleticism. His 3 cone was elite (4th among 59 DL at the Combine) and makes sense as it measures quickness and change of direction which he has in abundance. Noah Spence is a similar athlete, though they rush differently, as neither have great long speed but make up for it with their initial step, great bend and elite quickness. Barnett has his red flags but his tape, productivity and quickness/bend are all elite so I’m going to roll the dice with him and say he’s one of the top prospects in this draft, terrible 40 time be damned. Top 15 as my #3 PR 4/23/17.
  4. TJ Watt Wisconsin 6’4 ½ 252 Jr. Redshirted one year as a TE and then had a knee injury wipe out his entire 2014 season. He barely played in 2015 (8 tackles, 1.5 TFL, 3 PBUs) and then exploded in 2016 (63 tackles, 11.5 sacks, 15.5 TFL, 2 FF, 1 INT). Brother to JJ Watt. He ran a 4.69 40, ‘33 ⅛ arms, ‘37 vertical, 10’8 broad, 4.13 shuttle and 6.79 3 cone with all of his measurements being above average to elite. He has good bend, elite athleticism and elite production (at least in 2016) so I’m comfortable leaving him at pass rusher. His ‘33 ⅛ arms are average and aren’t a red flag. He has great strength and got a number of his sacks by bulling an OT or RB over to get to the QB. I doubt he’ll be able to continue that at the next level but at least it shows he has good strength which will translate into him being able to handle OTs in the run game bearing down on him. His lone INT is an impressive one as he quick jumped when rushing a QB and was able to pick the ball off despite being only 3 yards away from the QB when he released it. He also ran for a TD with it with the play showing great quickness and hand eye coordination. The one thing I don’t like about TJ is he’s long legged and it’s rare to see pass rushers with that attribute. TJ as a non-rush LB is an impressive prospect as well as he is great at stacking and shedding, has the speed to play well in coverage (though there is scant film of him dropping) and he has shown good instincts and hand eye coordination so he’d be a top prospect as a 4-3 SLB as well if a team wanted. To me though he has the speed, quickness, strength and arm length to be a full time pass rusher so to not use him in that role would be a waste. He is difficult to grade since he’s very raw and doesn’t seem to have any real pass rush moves yet he’s a great athlete, was very productive last year, has a great motor and seems like a future above average pass rusher with an outside chance to be great since he is so raw. He fits best in a 3-4 scheme but would work in a 4-3 scheme as well. Late 1st as my #4 PR 4/21/17.
  5. Charles Harris Missouri 6’2 ¾ 253 Jr. Redshirted one season. He ran a 4.82 40, ‘32 ⅜ arms, ‘32 vertical, 9’1 broad, 4.42 shuttle and 7.47 3 cone. All of those numbers except the vertical were below average to bad. He was a bit player in 2014 (19 tackles, 2 sacks, 4 TFL, 1 FF), very good in 2015 (56 tackles, 7 sacks, 18.5 TFL, 2 FF) and about the same in 2016 (61 tackles, 9 sacks, 12 TFL, 2 FF). His 4 FF the past two seasons is good and his 18.5 TFL as a sophomore is elite. He’s an interesting kid as he only played 1 year of HS yet was borderline dominant as a true sophomore in college (his 3rd year of playing football!). He has a very quick first step and a noticeable burst which makes him play MUCH faster than his 4.82 40 would suggest. He has good bend around the corner but also at times plays tight which is odd. He battles in the run game and while he isn’t great in that department, his effort should make him average at POA and above average in the trail position. He has a very good motor and is a combo rusher as he has some speed and some power so his motor is very valuable. He projects as an above average rusher at the next level as he plays faster than his Combine measurables would suggest and has a great motor so he should get a team 8-12 sacks a year. He isn’t the fastest, longest, strongest or quickest but is average to very good in all four of those categories and makes a good combo rusher. Late 1st round as my #5 PR 4/23/17.
  6. Taco Charlton Michigan 6’5 ⅝ 277 Sr. He ran a 4.92 40, ‘34 ¼ arms, ‘33 vertical, 9’8 broad, 4.39 shuttle and 7.17 3 cone with everything but the vertical being above average to good yet the 40 being atrocious. He barely played in 2013 (2 tackles), was a bit player in 2014 (19 tackles, 3.5 sacks, 5.5 TFL), had a solid year in 2015 (30 tackles, 5.5 sacks, 8.5 TFL, 1 FF) and a very good year in 2016 (42 tackles, 10 sacks, 13.5 TFL). I’m not usually a fan of huge DEs like this as their success rate isn’t very good (Will Clarke, William Gholston) as they usually just become glorified DTs and are good against the run but don’t make an impact as pass rushers. He also had a bad 40 time so I had to go back and view his tape to see if he really plays like a 4.9 athlete. One thing I do love about him is he has good bend for his frame, which is rare for a guy of his height, and he can bend around the corner at times when he gets the edge. I verified he plays faster than his 40 time though and I think he could stay at 4-3 DE on the strong side and then move down inside to DT on passing downs. He’d also be a great fit as a 3-4 DE so he actually fits either scheme. In either spot he’s a load as a run stopper, shows very good strength, has a non-stop motor and gives a team okay speed to go with elite length and surprising agility and bend. I know some scouts aren’t fans of his and I expected to be in agreement as I usually dislike the oversized DE but Taco has won me over. He has all the positives of a big DE with great size, strength and length yet has a decent burst and good enough bend to be a solid pass rusher. He still will likely move inside on money downs but should be effective on the edge when the opponent passes on early downs. Early 2nd as my #6 PR 4/23/17.
  7. Takkarist McKinley UCLA 6’2 250 Sr. He ran a 4.59 40, ‘34 ¾ arms, ‘33 vertical, 10’2 broad, 4.62 shuttle and 7.48 3 cone. He didn’t play in 2013, barely played in 2014 (5 tackles), was solid in 2015 (35 tackles, 4.5 sacks, 7.5 TFL, 2 FF) and then dominated in 2016 (61 tackles, 10 sacks, 18 TFL, 3 FF). His 5 FF the past two years is elite but it’s not hard to argue he’s basically a one year wonder which is worrisome. He didn’t play in the senior bowl due to a torn labrum. His long arms (‘34 ¾) and great speed (4.59 40) are an exciting combination. He’s long legged which I’m not a fan of but it doesn’t bother me as much with him as it does with other prospects as he shows good explosiveness and quickness. UCLA used him everywhere on the DL as he often lined up at DT and used his quickness and length inside to good success. He doesn’t play 4.59 but he’s made his evaluation more difficult for scout because he played last year at 265 and then cut weight to work out at 250 lbs for the Combine. Do I assume he gained speed and will play at that weight, did he cut weight to create an artificial time that scouts should throw out or did it just happen naturally as he couldn’t lift weights with his torn labrum so he became skinnier? On film at 265 lbs he looks like a 4.75 athlete as he struggles to win the edge and is more of a combo rusher with just enough speed to get an OT off balance and then he turns it into power. His best attribute is his ability to move down to DT and rush from the inside due to his good quickness and elite length. Due to this I’d be hesitant to leave him at his lower 250 lb weight, despite the likely improved speed off the edge, as he probably would be less effective inside at that weight. A lot of his sacks come late in the play which shows what kind of pass rusher he’ll be as he doesn’t have elite traits (except for his arm length) and will likely be a low ceiling 4-3 SDE that gets 6-10 sacks a year. His tape isn’t anything special as he was an ineffective rusher a lot of the time and had many of his sacks come late in plays due to his motor and the fact that he has the frame and strength to continue to push on OL, staying within striking distance of a QB at all times. He has value but I don’t see him being an impact rusher and therefore don’t have him in the 1st round. He has an obvious NFL frame though and shows good talent as a run stopper so he should start early in his career and will be an average to above average starter for someone. Early 2nd round as my #7 PR 4/22/17.
  8. Derek Rivers Youngstown 6’3 ⅝ 248 Sr. He ran a 4.61 40, ‘32 ¾ arms, ‘35 vertical, 10’3 broad, 4.40 shuttle and 6.94 3 cone all of which are above average to elite. He comes from a lower level of competition but dominated that level as a 3x 1st Team Missouri Valley Conference Selection. He had 36 sacks in his three seasons. He had terrible SAT scores, reason he went small school, so intelligence could be an issue. He ran a 4.61 40, elite for a DE prospect, and plays that way as he flashes special speed on the edge. He is tightly built though so he loses some athleticism due to that tightness. He’s undersized and can get engulfed as a run defender but shows solid strength for his size and battles so I wouldn’t have an issue with him as a full time 4-3 DE. Others might and I could see him be a pass rush specialist for certain teams and schemes. 3-4 OLB makes a lot of sense for him though his tightness could make him only a pass rusher as he could struggle with change of direction in coverage. I didn’t have a ton of tape to go off of for Rivers, due to his small school roots, but his 2016 West Virginia game looked good as his athleticism popped even against the higher level of competition. Add in his week at the Senior Bowl where he had good practices and graded out as PFF’s best linebacker during the actual game and I think he’s the rare small school kid that translates very well to the next level. He has rare speed and should at worst be a good situational rusher for someone but has a pretty high ceiling and could become a double digit pass rusher if everything falls into place for him. Late 2nd round as my #8 PR 4/21/17.
  9. Carroll Phillips Illinois 6’3 ¼ 242 Sr. He ran a 4.64 40, ‘33 ¾ arms, ‘30 vertical, 10’3 broad, 4.37 shuttle and 7.06 3 cone. He started out at Cincinnati, went JUCO and then came back for three seasons at Illinois where he barely played in 2014 (6 tackles, 1 TFL), was a bit player in 2015 (26 tackles, 2 sacks, 4.5 TFL) and then had a big year in 2016 (56 tackles, 9 sacks, 20 TFL, 1 FF) so he’s a one year wonder. His 20 TFL were 10th in the nation. It takes about 5 plays to notice his very NFL caliber frame and good athleticism which makes me wonder why he had only 32 tackles and 2 sacks in his first three years COMBINED. The reason likely is due to the fact that he’s still so raw and unpolished as a player. Since he’s 4 years out of HS it makes me wonder if he’ll ever become a polished player but the talent is clearly there to become a solid starting 3-4 OLB or 4-3 DE. He lacks strength on film and will need to add weight to his 242 lb frame to handle OL at the next level. He has a narrow frame which I like as a pass rusher as it reduces the surface level an OT can block but it also makes him less able to hold more weight so he likely will top out at 255 lbs, if that. He basically outathletes guys at this stage of his career as he has a noticeable burst, good speed, is agile and has long arms. He flashes some elite talent at times and makes me think he has an outside chance as a Pro Bowler. That likely won’t happen since he’s so raw and was only productive one season so he’s a bit of a roll of the dice. I like his tape though and think the tools he has could develop into something very good so I’d take a shot on him despite the risks. Late 2nd round as my #9 PR 4/21/17.
  10. Daeshon Hall Texas A&M 6’5 ¼ 266 Sr. He ran a 4.76 40, ‘35 ⅝ arms, ‘36 vertical, 10’3 broad, 4.38 shuttle and 7.03 3 cone with his vertical and 3 cone being elite. His ‘35 ⅝ arms are elite as well as he has a great overall frame with the length GMs drool over. As a true freshman in 2013 he played a lot (29 tackles, 3 TFL, 1 INT) which is impressive. In 2014 he got his first sacks (29 tackles, 4.5 sacks, 6 TFL), had his best year in 2015 (54 tackles, 7 sacks, 14.5 TFL, 2 FF) and then regressed a bit in 2016 which really disappointed me (50 tackles, 4.5 sacks, 13 TFL, 2 FF). The stage was set for Hall to make a lot of money last year as Garrett on the other side kept teams from game planning against him, he had 7 sacks in 2015 and just needed a double digit sack season and run a good 40 and he’d be a Top 40 pick with his elite frame. Instead he had 4.5 sacks, didn’t improve as a player as a senior and ran a mediocre 40 which has his stock in free fall. I still like Hall as he’s tall, has a burst and has elite arm length but I expected a lot more from him. He played a lot of wide 9 formation which makes his 4.5 sacks even more disappointing as Chavis gave him the opportunities to be a playmaker and he just wasn’t efficient. Despite his 266 lb frame he’s a weak player and can easily get overpowered by OTs. He has to win with his burst and length on the edge otherwise it’s over. I think A&M did a disservice to him by moving him inside a lot of the time as he wasn’t effective down there. I still see potential with Hall as he’s long, plays faster than his 4.76 40 and could develop into something down the road. As a true freshman the kid was rail thin and didn’t have any idea what he was doing. He’s come a long way since then and still has room to grow in my opinion so I’m willing to buy low on Hall after his suboptimal senior year. Late 2nd round as my #10 PR 4/23/17.
  11. Jordan Willis Kansas St. 6’3 ¾ 255 Sr. He ran a 4.53 40, ‘33 ½ arms, ‘39 vertical, 10’5 broad, 4.28 shuttle and 6.85 3 cone with all being elite. He had a Top 10 workout. He barely played in 2013 (1 tackle, 1 sack), played okay in 2014 (26 tackles, 4.5 sacks, 7 TFL), and then had back to back great seasons in 2015 (35 tackles, 9.5 sacks, 15 TFL, 4 FF) and 2016 (52 tackles, 11.5 sacks, 17.5 TFL, 3 FF). I’m a big believer that forced fumbles are a vastly underrated stat when scouting players so I love his 7 FF the past two seasons. Add on his 21 sacks and 32.5 TFL and he’s one of the most productive players in the country. PFF loved him and said he was their highest rated pass rusher in 2016. He also was their highest rated pass rusher in the Senior Bowl game and did good work in the week of practice. On film he’s a tightly built guy with a noticeable burst but he doesn’t have good bend, lacks long arms and isn’t the biggest or strongest guy so his game is predicated on him getting the edge or using his quickness to shoot a gap inside. When he gets the edge he’s dangerous as it allows him to pressure from the edge or set up the OT high and duck in low. When he doesn’t get the edge it’s largely over for him as he just becomes a hustle player, chasing the action. His 2016 Stanford tape was not that of a 1st rounder as he was invisible pretty much the entire game except for a FF when he couldn’t get to the QB but hit his arm as he flew past, a hit on a RB when he didn’t have the ball which helped cause a turnover (not really his play, more an error on the QB/RB exchange), a tackle on a zone read and a hustle play tackle on a WR bubble screen. He had two pressures (including the FF which was very lucky), both on speed rushes, and showed no secondary moves. He ran a 4.53 but he doesn’t play like it and I suspect Willis will be overdrafted by a team that sees his elite Combine measurables and his elite production and checks him off as a 1st rounder. I might be wrong but Willis doesn’t play like a 1st round pass rusher. To me he projects as a #2 or #3 DE for a team that is a rotational player who gets 6-8 sacks a year off hustle and his good but not great speed. He has a low ceiling as all of his negatives (tightly built, smaller guy with maxed out frame that can’t add weight, mediocre arm length) can’t be fixed. Early 3rd round as my #11 PR 4/22/17.
  12. Dawuane Smoot Illinois 6’3 ⅛ 264 Sr. He ran a 4.77 40, ‘33 ¼ arms, ‘29 ½ vertical, 9’9 broad, 4.39 shuttle and 7.18 3 cone with everything being about average. In 2013 he barely played (8 tackles, 1 sack), in 2014 he was average (33 tackles, 2.5 sacks, 7.5 TFL), in 2015 he was very good (40 tackles, 8 sacks, 15 TFL, 3 FF) and in 2016 he regressed a bit but was still solid (56 tackles, 5 sacks, 15 TFL, 2 FF). His 5 FF the past two years is impressive as are his 30 TFL but his 13 sacks are only above average. He has violent hands and is really active with them as he likes to battle OL. He doesn’t have the speed or burst to consistently get the edge and has to really battle for his sacks. He seems up to that role, which is good as it will be his way to success in the NFL, but that type of game doesn’t have a high sack rate so he projects as a good backup or below average to average starter. He doesn’t have good speed, bend or quickness but he has great physicality and good explosiveness. He will be good against the run and it shows in his stats as his 13 sacks the past two seasons are solid but his 30 TFL are elite. I like Smoot at a certain point in the draft as he has a low ceiling and projects as just an average starter but he’ll be very good against the run and coaches will love how physical he is. He’ll battle OL all day so he makes sense as part of a rotation where a team can come at you in waves and wear down an OL. Early 3rd round as my #12 PR who should be an average starting 4-3 DE 4/21/17.
  13. Tarell Basham Ohio 6’3 ¾ 269 Sr. He ran a 4.70 40, ‘34 ¼ arms, ‘31 ½ vertical, 9’11 broad, 4.35 shuttle and 7.27 3 cone. He had four seasons of similar production with 31-49 tackles to go with 4, 5.5, 7.5 and 10.5 sacks. He’s a taller, thickly built DE who is athletic for his size. He doesn’t have great speed, doesn’t seem to play to his 4.70 40-more like 4.8, but is a solid combo rusher as he has good size and strength and enough athleticism to be effective overall. He looks like a good 4-3 SDE who won’t wow with high sack numbers but will have some due to his motor and his combination of strength and speed. His tape vs. Tennessee in 2016 was very good and makes me think he’ll settle in as an average starter with mediocre sack numbers (4-8 per year) but with a good overall game. 3rd round as my #13 PR 4/23/17.
  14. Carl Lawson Auburn 6’1 ¾ 261 Jr. Redshirted one season. He ran a 4.67 40, ‘31 ½ arms, ‘33 vertical, 9’6 broad, 4.19 shuttle and 7.46 3 cone. His shuttle time was elite for his size but his arm length was terrible so he was a mixed bag at the Combine. He played well as a true freshman in 2013 (20 tackles, 4 sacks, 7.5 TFL, 2 FF) which is impressive in the SEC. He missed all of 2014 due to an ACL injury, came back and clearly wasn’t himself in 2015 (17 tackles, 1 sack, 3 TFL) and then had a very good year in 2016 (30 tackles, 9 sacks, 13.5 TFL, 1 FF). His 17-30 tackles each year show he is just a pass rusher and doesn’t have a complete game. Instantly you see why Lawson is a prospect as he has good snap anticipation, a noticeable burst and has good bend around the corner. He does little else well as he has short arms, isn’t very strong and is bad against the run both in a production stand point (never more than 30 tackles in a season) and via tape as he can’t stack and shed to his short arms and doesn’t give great effort chasing down plays from the trail position. He uses his shorter frame to his advantage by ducking under OTs and making himself small and difficult to get a surface area on. That might work at the NFL some but often times he will be stonewalled as he is a one trick pony and his one trick isn’t even elite as his burst and speed are good but hardly elite. He projects as a rotation player and/or situational rusher. That lowers his value but I see him having some success as a rusher in the NFL and that is worth its weight in gold so he’ll be valued on draft day. He also has an intensity about him and aggressiveness which makes me like him despite his obvious deficiencies. Lawson has good speed, good bend and great snap anticipation so he will have some success as an edge rusher. That’s all he does well as he doesn’t have a great motor, has short arms, doesn’t show a lot of power as a rusher or as a run stopper and will be a liability to teams on run downs. He should find his niche in a rotation as a pure rusher but teams that don’t employ rotations won’t be interested in him. 3rd round as my #14 PR 4/22/17.
  15. Tim Williams Alabama 6’2 ⅞ 244 Sr. He ran a 4.68 40, ‘32 ¾ arms, ‘33 ½ vertical, 10’4 broad, 4.57 shuttle and 7.36 3 cone. He barely played in 2013-2015 (8 tackles, 1.5 sacks COMBINED) yet had a great year in 2015 as a pass rusher but little else (19 tackles, 10 ½ sacks) and then a more well rounded 2016 (31 tackles, 9 sacks, 16 TFL, 2 FF). His 19.5 sacks the past two seasons makes him one of the more prolific pass rushers in the nation. He has good athleticism with a noticeable burst and times the snap very well with good anticipation. He isn’t the most agile or flexible guy with some stiffness to him and doesn’t have great instincts. He is more straight line speed than agile and it shows as he barely misses a QB a lot it seems and has a number of his sacks where he got the QB on the 2nd or 3rd try. He’s not the normal power Alabama rusher as he isn’t that strong and is really a pure speed guy. He doesn’t use his hands at all and is very raw as a rusher with his speed rush and hustle being his two ways of getting a QB. Take away his speed and he’s undraftable as this kid is very much a one trick pony. He has mediocre arm length (‘32 ¾), poor agility, average bend, is an uninspired run stopper, isn’t strong and yet we are talking about him because he ran a 4.68 40 and plays like it. I like him as a #3 pass rusher off the bench but don’t see a team putting up with his mediocre production against the run as a starter so he projects as a 3rd down specialist for 4-3 teams or as a 3-4 OLB for a team that really focus on pass rushers at that spot. I’m not a fan but it’s rare to find 244 lbs running sub 4.7 so he should have a market for his services. Early 4th round as my #15 PR 4/20/17.
  16. Hunter Dimick Utah 6’3 268 Sr. Redshirted one season. Five years out of HS so he’s an older prospect. Not invited to the Combine but had a 4.75 40, ‘28 vertical and 9’1 broad with his 40 being below average and his vertical and broad both being bad. He had 10 sacks in 2014, then was injured and only played in 7 games in 2015 and then was third in the nation with 14.5 sacks in 2016. He’s built like a DT with a very thick frame but has surprising quickness and a great first step that allows him to consistently win the edge. He doesn’t have long arms and isn’t that agile as he’s very tightly built so he’s going to have to continue to win with his first step and his motor. He’s similar to Carl Lawson stylistically but is an inferior athlete. I like him in the same role though as a rotational DE who could excel in certain matchups as he has a noticeable burst. Some teams will have him off their board due to his physical limitations but he could make a niche for himself as a #3 DE or even an average starter down the line. Early 4th round as my #16 PR 4/23/17.
  17. Joe Mathis Washington 6’2 266 Sr. He only lifted at the Combine due to his foot injury. He had ‘33 arms which are mediocre. Joe was rated as the most effective pass rusher in the nation by PFF (through six games-injury ended his season at that point). He barely played in 2013 (7 tackles), was a bit player in 2014 and 2015 (16-29 tackles, 2 sacks, 2-6 TFL, 0-1 FF each season) and then had a promising season cut short in 2016 by a foot injury (25 tackles, 5 sacks, 7.5 TFL all in only 7 games so double the output for what would likely have been his year long totals). He’s built like a big LB not a DE and stands up for Washington. At 266 lbs he’s a bigger end but he moves almost at DT speed and doesn’t show good burst or overall athleticism. His career numbers of 9 sacks in 4 years isn’t impressive and yes his injury as a senior hurt that but 2 sacks per year in full seasons in 2014 and 2015 make me think my point is still valid, injury or not. He’s a stiff athlete that doesn’t bend well. I didn’t like his tape at all as he played high, didn’t bend well, was very slow and didn’t make an impact in the game I scouted. I’m unsure how he got such an impressive grade by PFF but I just don’t see him being an NFL caliber player. Free agent as my #17 PR 4/22/17.
  18. Trey Hendrickson Florida Atlantic 6’4 266 Sr. He ran a 4.65 40, ‘32 arms, ‘33 ½ vertical, 10’2 broad, 4.20 shuttle and 7.03 3 cone with the quickness drills being elite for his weight. He barely played in 2013 but was still a bit of a pass rusher (7 tackles, 1.5 sacks, 2.5 TFL), became a bit player in 2014 (31 tackles, 5 sacks, 9 TFL, 1 FF), had his best year in 2015 (39 tackles, 13 sacks, 14.5 TFL, 5 FF) and then a good but down year in 2016 (51 tackles, 9.5 sacks, 15 TFL, 1 FF). His 5 FF in 2015 are elite. He has a low sacks to TFL ratio and sacks to tackles ratio which means he’s really just a pass rusher and isn’t a well rounded player. C-USA DPOY and 2x 1st team C-USA. He led the nation in blocked kicks one year. His ‘32 arms at 6’4 are terrible and bother me. He has good quickness but poor speed and doesn’t seem to have much in his game other than as an edge rusher. He’s a weak player, especially for 266 lbs, and doesn’t set the edge well against the run and gets pancaked at times as a rusher. He has good agility and body control for his weight but just lacks athleticism and plays more like 4.8 than 4.65, not sure where that 40 came from. His East-West Shrine game tape was atrocious. I am not a fan of this kid as he is an edge rusher without the athleticism to get the edge and has deficiencies in every other part of his game. He looks like an obvious bust to me who I’d only bring in as a free agent due to his production and good quickness and agility. Free Agent as my #18 PR 4/23/17.
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